MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a1b6a115655a3af702aa79c42910ccb82e4300c23006cd5ade33464f2fdb280
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $352,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $371,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Guardians | 46c | 232,464$106,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,761.57 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Blue Jays | 54c | 133,333$72,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,333.18 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Blue Jays | 77c | 41,879$32,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,670.68 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 26,669$14,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,267.96 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jays | 54c | 23,333$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,733.18 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Guardians | 46c | 16,744$7,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,683.82 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 11c | 8,326$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.78 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Blue Jays | 53c | 6,895$3,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.84 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 6,288$3,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.8 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Guardians | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 47c | 6,000$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.96 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.55 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 5,315$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.11 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Blue Jays | 54c | 4,912$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.61 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians | 11c | 4,634$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.56 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 12c | 3,746$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…580dbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 3,225$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 3,222$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.95 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Guardians | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 2,947$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.29 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Guardians | 1c | 2,893$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 66c | 2,782$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.86 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 2,723$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.96 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Blue Jays | 54c | 2,400$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays | 54c | 2,100$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Guardians | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 68c | 1,000$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Guardians | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Blue Jays | 54c | 925$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.5 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb70…f9d5backed Blue Jays | 51c | 861.03$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 858.52$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.09 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Guardians | 47c | 858.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…a997backed Guardians | 49c | 857$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…45f6backed Guardians | 49c | 843$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9f…23f5backed Blue Jays | 51c | 837$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Guardians | 7c | 835.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Guardians | 49c | 817.76$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.7 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Blue Jays | 75c | 815.97$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 776.96$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.96 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Guardians | 8c | 668.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Guardians | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Guardians | 50c | 603.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 46c | 534.17$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.87 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Blue Jays | 54c | 530.13$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.13 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked Guardians | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Guardians | 50c | 484.62$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 476.44$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.4 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Blue Jays | 54c | 455.7$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.62 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Guardians | 7c | 450$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…d51dbacked Guardians | 28c | 432.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Blue Jays | 69c | 417.95$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.56 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Guardians | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 355.62$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.81 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Guardians | 14c | 340$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 338$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.48 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Guardians | 6c | 264.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Guardians | 31c | 259$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Blue Jays | 54c | 256$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.76 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…c3cbbacked Blue Jays | 66c | 252.45$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Blue Jays | 55c | 245.45$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Guardians | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Blue Jays | 52c | 209$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Blue Jays | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Blue Jays | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Guardians | 46c | 199.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Blue Jays | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…f310backed Blue Jays | 54c | 188$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Blue Jays | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Guardians | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 67c | 156.77$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Guardians | 16c | 154.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…a0cebacked Blue Jays | 54c | 152$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Blue Jays | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Guardians | 46c | 146.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…6944backed Blue Jays | 54c | 134$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…f272backed Blue Jays | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91d…a878backed Blue Jays | 73c | 122.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Guardians | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…3de5backed Guardians | 47c | 119$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Guardians | 47c | 114.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…6747backed Guardians | 46c | 113$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Guardians | 46c | 108.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Guardians | 10c | 107.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…178cbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 104.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Guardians | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…5721backed Guardians | 46c | 98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Blue Jays | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Blue Jays | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Blue Jays | 55c | 89.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Guardians | 13c | 83.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Guardians | 46c | 81.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.