MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63e6a3a59a994c850169616480b6879c6273fb9d5aa399e2c3a7720c20166301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Pirates, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Cubs | 54c | 22,492$12,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,228.2 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Cubs | 52c | 20,193$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500.35 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 43c | 19,082$8,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,164.4 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pirates | 44c | 15,972$7,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,886.36 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Pirates | 48c | 15,144$7,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,874.99 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 42c | 13,785$5,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,039.58 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Pirates | 48c | 7,796$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.31 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…49a5backed Pirates | 50c | 6,737$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 48c | 5,678$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.26 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cubs | 53c | 4,759$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 46c | 4,446$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.73 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Pirates | 49c | 4,181$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.16 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Pirates | 45c | 3,752$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.13 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Pirates | 43c | 3,215$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.08 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cubs | 51c | 3,174$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.78 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Cubs | 38c | 2,595$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.25 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cubs | 59c | 2,500$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Pirates | 47c | 2,400$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cubs | 50c | 2,358$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.49 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Cubs | 52c | 2,189$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Pirates | 73c | 2,055$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pirates | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 52c | 1,894$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.71 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 49c | 1,889$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.35 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Pirates | 48c | 1,619$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.85 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cubs | 53c | 1,573$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.77 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Pirates | 66c | 1,562$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.52 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…abe0backed Pirates | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 48c | 1,415$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.96 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 50c | 1,339$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.59 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Pirates | 47c | 1,266$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.17 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Cubs | 55c | 1,243$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cubs | 55c | 1,227$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.41 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Cubs | 60c | 1,226$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.27 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 48c | 1,148$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.2 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Pirates | 47c | 1,120$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.81 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Pirates | 49c | 1,116$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.11 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Pirates | 75c | 1,105$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.15 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cubs | 52c | 1,088$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 50c | 1,056$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.04 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cubs | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.93 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Cubs | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Cubs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cubs | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cubs | 50c | 999.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed Pirates | 48c | 893$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…9462backed Cubs | 52c | 893$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Pirates | 49c | 842$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.42 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pirates | 50c | 834.03$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.55 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Cubs | 51c | 800$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.75 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26a…6d6ebacked Cubs | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Pirates | 51c | 745.17$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.71 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Pirates | 48c | 712.98$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.75 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 49c | 711.23$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.78 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Cubs | 50c | 710.06$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.03 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…3f00backed Cubs | 56c | 675$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Cubs | 52c | 658.74$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea4…933dbacked Pirates | 49c | 648.49$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 48c | 604.2$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.23 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Pirates | 50c | 602.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.74 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Pirates | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cubs | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Pirates | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pirates | 47c | 574.91$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.7 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Cubs | 52c | 555$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.6 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Cubs | 52c | 555$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.6 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Cubs | 53c | 550.83$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Cubs | 53c | 523.61$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.03 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked Pirates | 41c | 509$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.54 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Pirates | 49c | 484.69$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.19 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Cubs | 52c | 481.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.32 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Cubs | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4834…8acdbacked Cubs | 52c | 465.98$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Pirates | 40c | 463.52$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.93 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Pirates | 37c | 452.01$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.3 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Cubs | 40c | 449.73$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Pirates | 48c | 428.3$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.72 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Pirates | 71c | 424.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…9b35backed Pirates | 48c | 416$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pirates | 49c | 406.12$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.12 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…084abacked Pirates | 49c | 403.55$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e6…10d7backed Cubs | 52c | 402$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Pirates | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Cubs | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 49c | 399.97$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…eb2ebacked Pirates | 49c | 399.2$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…c013backed Cubs | 54c | 398.15$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…6951backed Cubs | 52c | 398.12$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…93e6backed Pirates | 49c | 389.84$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Cubs | 52c | 383.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab5f…aab9backed Cubs | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Cubs | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…dd21backed Cubs | 52c | 350.81$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a2…ecdfbacked Cubs | 52c | 314.77$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cubs | 43c | 304.34$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.91 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 44c | 300.75$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.75 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Cubs | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Pirates | 44c | 299.64$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.93 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd690…ad2abacked Pirates | 64c | 287.5$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.