Tennis · resolved market
Guangzhou Open: Alina Korneeva vs Yulia Putintseva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38498fc7b128e9b9127cc427c26d0242967a4a12facca020792e333e00553d71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Putintsevaof Korneeva, Putintseva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Korneeva | 55c | 2,730$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.51 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…2d88backed Korneeva | 28c | 1,445$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Putintseva | 56c | 1,436$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.55 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Putintseva | 67c | 1,055$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.67 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Putintseva | 49c | 680.02$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.79 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Putintseva | 72c | 672$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.69 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Korneeva | 33c | 480.68$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Putintseva | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Korneeva | 45c | 367.51$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.83 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Putintseva | 70c | 306$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Putintseva | 72c | 272.69$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.07 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Korneeva | 42c | 241.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Putintseva | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Putintseva | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Putintseva | 63c | 202.24$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Putintseva | 42c | 201.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Korneeva | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Putintseva | 51c | 195.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Korneeva | 27c | 121$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Korneeva | 32c | 60.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Putintseva | 80c | 26.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Putintseva | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.