MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x516dad1895cb4369171bb0d89521b37f5205c4cfe8ac4f1116b0d3900382e260
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Cubs, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $390,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $418,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 491 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cubs | 50c | 63,641$31,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,820.51 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs | 51c | 32,396$16,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,487.95 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Reds | 50c | 28,230$14,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,115 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Cubs | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Cubs | 50c | 20,688$10,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,344.11 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Reds | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Reds | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Reds | 47c | 20,000$9,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,523.77 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cubs | 51c | 15,500$7,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,912 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Reds | 59c | 14,682$8,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,024.67 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 47c | 13,901$6,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,316.06 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Cubs | 50c | 12,222$6,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,111 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 49c | 11,421$5,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,828.73 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 49c | 10,677$5,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,226.45 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Reds | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Reds | 61c | 6,702$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.94 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Reds | 49c | 6,500$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.98 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Cubs | 51c | 6,000$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Reds | 49c | 4,444$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.41 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 47c | 4,243$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.3 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Reds | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.99 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Reds | 60c | 3,845$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cubs | 48c | 3,539$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.17 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Reds | 50c | 3,456$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.98 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cubs | 50c | 3,360$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.9 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Reds | 47c | 3,094$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.29 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +7.7wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 49c | 3,081$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.19 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 48c | 3,002$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.81 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Cubs | 53c | 2,900$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Cubs | 52c | 2,555$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Cubs | 53c | 2,476$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.51 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cubs | 46c | 2,445$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.94 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Reds | 36c | 2,358$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.97 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cubs | 51c | 2,304$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.79 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Reds | 48c | 2,272$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.53 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Cubs | 49c | 2,093$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.98 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cubs | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Cubs | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Cubs | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Reds | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Reds | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Cubs | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Cubs | 53c | 1,428$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.26 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Reds | 46c | 1,305$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.06 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cubs | 46c | 1,282$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.57 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Cubs | 40c | 1,222$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.49 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Cubs | 63c | 1,157$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.46 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs | 52c | 1,139$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.02 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 47c | 1,089$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.09 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Cubs | 51c | 1,088$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Reds | 49c | 1,084$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.84 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Reds | 47c | 1,075$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.13 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Cubs | 54c | 1,059$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.71 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Reds | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Cubs | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 46c | 999.95$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.97 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cubs | 51c | 979.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Reds | 49c | 949.45$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.22 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Cubs | 53c | 947.63$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cubs | 45c | 918.35$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.38 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Reds | 53c | 900$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Cubs | 8c | 899.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 45c | 875.98$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.21 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Cubs | 51c | 803.27$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.67 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Reds | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Reds | 48c | 800$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.13 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cubs | 26c | 787.24$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.56 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Cubs | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Cubs | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 394 | 56.9%224 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Cubs | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Cubs | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cubs | 9c | 679.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cubs | 50c | 650$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cubs | 76c | 636$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.72 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Cubs | 16c | 620$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Reds | 48c | 614.58$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.58 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc28e…86c8backed Reds | 51c | 612.65$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.37 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Cubs | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cubs | 52c | 550$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Reds | 53c | 548.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.99 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked Cubs | 51c | 545.1$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…e51cbacked Cubs | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Cubs | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cubs | 3c | 468.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cubs | 50c | 458$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Reds | 47c | 428.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.69 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Reds | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Reds | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cubs | 53c | 359.93$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.76 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Cubs | 40c | 348.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Cubs | 52c | 319.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.19 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Cubs | 52c | 294$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Cubs | 53c | 284.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Cubs | 51c | 280.2$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.9 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cubs | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf53…3f0dbacked Reds | 27c | 252$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 48c | 249.37$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.33 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cubs vs. Redsthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.