MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x607544176b9ba9fe14cdc0923e9099b6eac7b2296be4eace993abeca27386909
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,035,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,059,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,035,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Twins | 50c | 429,131$213,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213,565.63 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Guardians | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 50c | 106,960$53,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,814.01 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Guardians | 51c | 102,600$52,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,274 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Twins | 1c | 79,596$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.88 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Guardians | 50c | 42,705$21,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,352.42 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Guardians | 49c | 34,854$17,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,775.73 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Guardians | 51c | 31,087$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,337.86 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Twins | 51c | 25,000$12,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,649.92 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Guardians | 50c | 22,918$11,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,459.11 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Guardians | 50c | 20,542$10,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,353.58 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Guardians | 50c | 19,558$9,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,778.82 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Guardians | 49c | 19,065$9,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,650.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Twins | 50c | 17,500$8,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,750 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Guardians | 50c | 16,148$8,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,120.94 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Guardians | 50c | 14,607$7,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,353.5 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f82cbacked Guardians | 50c | 14,275$7,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,151.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Guardians | 50c | 14,202$7,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,132.74 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Guardians | 50c | 13,527$6,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,824.19 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46c6…a48ebacked Guardians | 49c | 13,526$6,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,898.34 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…cd2bbacked Guardians | 50c | 12,839$6,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,460.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Guardians | 49c | 11,067$5,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,644 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Guardians | 50c | 9,638$4,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,819 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 50c | 9,498$4,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,749.02 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Guardians | 48c | 7,724$3,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,016.71 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Guardians | 48c | 6,653$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.82 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05cf…c681backed Guardians | 50c | 6,052$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Guardians | 49c | 6,021$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.57 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…ab20backed Guardians | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Guardians | 50c | 5,030$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…6ed9backed Guardians | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Guardians | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.98 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 51c | 4,353$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.52 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Guardians | 49c | 4,085$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Guardians | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Guardians | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked Guardians | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Guardians | 50c | 3,768$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.2 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Guardians | 52c | 3,531$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.39 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Guardians | 49c | 3,350$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.5 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Twins | 53c | 2,848$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Guardians | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Twins | 52c | 2,750$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.49 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…7239backed Guardians | 50c | 2,460$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Guardians | 50c | 2,408$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.15 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Guardians | 49c | 2,322$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.22 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Guardians | 49c | 2,246$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.7 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Twins | 50c | 2,145$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.5 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Guardians | 48c | 2,014$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.19 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a3…d285backed Guardians | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Guardians | 47c | 2,000$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.85 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…787cbacked Guardians | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 48c | 1,980$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.79 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd2…6535backed Guardians | 50c | 1,840$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…737bbacked Guardians | 72c | 1,815$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Guardians | 48c | 1,769$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.77 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Guardians | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.84 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Twins | 51c | 1,562$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Twins | 2c | 1,557$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Twins | 35c | 1,480$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.79 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Guardians | 48c | 1,400$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Guardians | 50c | 1,215$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.75 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…a70dbacked Twins | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…abccbacked Guardians | 49c | 1,077$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3956backed Guardians | 50c | 1,016$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Guardians | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Twins | 52c | 999.98$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.66 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…2567backed Twins | 50c | 950$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Guardians | 49c | 939.4$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.09 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 49c | 808.16$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.16 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Twins | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…694cbacked Twins | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd822…3127backed Guardians | 50c | 750$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Guardians | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…94bebacked Twins | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Guardians | 48c | 649$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.82 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…d24bbacked Guardians | 49c | 608.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.16 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Guardians | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Guardians | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Guardians | 48c | 588$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.7 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…a3d3backed Guardians | 50c | 582.12$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.06 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Guardians | 50c | 570.9$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.23 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Guardians | 48c | 561.94$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.21 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Twins | 51c | 523.4$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.93 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Guardians | 50c | 504.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.08 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…4e9fbacked Twins | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…9717backed Twins | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba02…e42bbacked Guardians | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Guardians | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Twins | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Guardians | 49c | 381.19$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.41 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Twins | 52c | 373.08$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Guardians | 49c | 367.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.35 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Twins | 53c | 363$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…15c5backed Guardians | 49c | 325.51$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Twins | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Guardians | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Guardians vs. Twinsthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.