CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b0913aa986a9a635850fcaa7e6c7af30987400af8a6d4bc7d14de44d1ea8234
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked KOLESIE | 34c | 1,154$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.16 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked fnatic | 65c | 1,045$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.23 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked KOLESIE | 42c | 875.47$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.26 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked fnatic | 63c | 840.33$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.41 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed KOLESIE | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed fnatic | 35c | 427$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.43 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…5292backed KOLESIE | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed fnatic | 64c | 416.67$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.67 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed fnatic | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed KOLESIE | 29c | 360.69$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.09 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed KOLESIE | 50c | 333.51$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.76 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked KOLESIE | 38c | 329.07$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.39 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed fnatic | 11c | 317.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…3332backed fnatic | 23c | 269.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed KOLESIE | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked fnatic | 51c | 204$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked fnatic | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked fnatic | 70c | 173.37$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed KOLESIE | 35c | 166.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.79 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…9594backed KOLESIE | 33c | 161.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.57 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked fnatic | 64c | 154.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c89…2db9backed fnatic | 42c | 145.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed KOLESIE | 28c | 145.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked KOLESIE | 35c | 111.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed fnatic | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed fnatic | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed fnatic | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…a876backed fnatic | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed fnatic | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed fnatic | 66c | 67.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a3…ce05backed KOLESIE | 23c | 64.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +330.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked KOLESIE | 35c | 57.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked fnatic | 79c | 56.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 157 | 70.1%110 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed KOLESIE | 41c | 55.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…b99cbacked KOLESIE | 45c | 46.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed KOLESIE | 35c | 44.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…a946backed fnatic | 73c | 40.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked fnatic | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked KOLESIE | 35c | 39.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…b497backed fnatic | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…935ebacked KOLESIE | 49c | 39.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked fnatic | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked fnatic | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed KOLESIE | 65c | 30.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…8b79backed fnatic | 51c | 30.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked KOLESIE | 49c | 29.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32a1…659bbacked KOLESIE | 58c | 28.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed KOLESIE | 64c | 15.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed fnatic | 72c | 14.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs fnatic - Map 1 WinnerKOLESIE won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs fnatic - Map 2 WinnerKOLESIE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.