Lol · resolved market
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63769dc93f8c3ba97efea04428c4ed63a21675fbd195115fab7ab20c5b11f695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Rolster Challengersof KT Rolster Challengers, T1 Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked T1 Academy | 42c | 3,094$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.26 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked T1 Academy | 59c | 1,274$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.12 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 53c | 822.94$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.78 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked T1 Academy | 39c | 666$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.74 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed KT Rolster Challengers | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked KT Rolster Challengers | 58c | 532.94$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.84 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed KT Rolster Challengers | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked T1 Academy | 42c | 406.07$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.55 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked T1 Academy | 42c | 400.1$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.04 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed KT Rolster Challengers | 58c | 370.53$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed KT Rolster Challengers | 47c | 370$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.1 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed KT Rolster Challengers | 61c | 328.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.2 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed KT Rolster Challengers | 58c | 290.43$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.94 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed T1 Academy | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 48c | 209.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.42 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…49eabacked T1 Academy | 42c | 197.9$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed T1 Academy | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked T1 Academy | 43c | 103.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked KT Rolster Challengers | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed T1 Academy | 55c | 68.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed KT Rolster Challengers | 57c | 57.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 144 | 25%36 W · 108 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked T1 Academy | 60c | 52.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 65c | 47.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed T1 Academy | 35c | 47.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed T1 Academy | 42c | 47.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed T1 Academy | 53c | 45.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked KT Rolster Challengers | 58c | 42.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed T1 Academy | 42c | 37.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed KT Rolster Challengers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…dfc7backed T1 Academy | 42c | 37.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed T1 Academy | 50c | 36.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked T1 Academy | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed T1 Academy | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…381ebacked KT Rolster Challengers | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…5bc8backed KT Rolster Challengers | 59c | 25.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.