Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: LGD Gaming vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe75de803c7f1e45be25c84728bfb93bdc149b61a5d3b2ee51f7b1a917d025104
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof LGD, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed LGD | 23c | 36,381$8,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,314.71 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed NIP | 77c | 12,856$9,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.79 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked NIP | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed LGD | 29c | 6,189$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.25 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed LGD | 23c | 5,185$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.09 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed LGD | 28c | 3,511$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked LGD | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed NIP | 76c | 1,986$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.68 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed NIP | 73c | 1,890$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.44 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked NIP | 77c | 1,809$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.03 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked NIP | 78c | 1,777$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.94 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed NIP | 76c | 1,550$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NIP | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed NIP | 76c | 1,358$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.96 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed NIP | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked NIP | 79c | 1,125$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.15 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked NIP | 77c | 1,107$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.61 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked NIP | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed NIP | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked LGD | 3c | 927.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…d8bebacked LGD | 11c | 808.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…77f1backed LGD | 3c | 699.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked NIP | 77c | 695.47$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.96 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed NIP | 77c | 650$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed LGD | 7c | 640$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked NIP | 76c | 638.49$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.89 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed NIP | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 147 | 61.9%91 W · 56 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed NIP | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…25e7backed NIP | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed NIP | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed LGD | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked NIP | 76c | 400$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 131 | 64.9%85 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed NIP | 78c | 384.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed NIP | 77c | 384.49$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed NIP | 77c | 363.64$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed LGD | 27c | 326.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed LGD | 28c | 271.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked NIP | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed NIP | 77c | 250$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed LGD | 8c | 207$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked LGD | 26c | 203.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed NIP | 77c | 198.7$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed LGD | 15c | 182.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed LGD | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed NIP | 79c | 167.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed NIP | 77c | 138.31$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked NIP | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed NIP | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed NIP | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…793dbacked LGD | 22c | 132.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d73…2a58backed NIP | 78c | 123.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked NIP | 79c | 102.53$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf82b…5211backed LGD | 16c | 86.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed LGD | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…ae42backed NIP | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…869cbacked NIP | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…3a93backed NIP | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked NIP | 77c | 38.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed NIP | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed NIP | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e49…9714backed NIP | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed NIP | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked NIP | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed NIP | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.