Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeca5c02aa768997e7949911b47bda6bbe44f6ad9f9c4286c4c2d795363a79460
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 14,059$7,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,932.71 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Over | 62c | 7,462$4,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Over | 61c | 5,790$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.22 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 42c | 4,441$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 59c | 4,385$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.93 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 3,859$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.1 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 73c | 1,601$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Over | 56c | 1,545$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.59 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.68 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 44c | 999.97$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 958.04$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.6 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 63c | 850.69$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.75 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 54c | 817.54$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.07 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 789.65$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.14 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 47c | 677.86$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 38c | 629.24$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.11 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Over | 33c | 580.85$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 35c | 549.14$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.94 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 50c | 522.05$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 50c | 438.73$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.24 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Under | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 38c | 375.87$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 38c | 375.87$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 48c | 290.84$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.33 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 287.75$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.29 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 38c | 249.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 45c | 242.72$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 61c | 233.19$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.24 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 38c | 227.42$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 50c | 223.59$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.02 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 38c | 212.78$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 68c | 201.43$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c4…89cfbacked Over | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b39…65adbacked Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…3841backed Over | 25c | 194.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +83%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 55c | 190$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 62c | 189.14$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 38c | 187.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 55c | 162.28$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…c645backed Under | 46c | 156.46$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 25c | 152.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed Under | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 72c | 133.88$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 46c | 129.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 59c | 128.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Under | 40c | 108.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 13c | 108.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 38c | 102.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Under | 41c | 101.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 58c | 99.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 60c | 91.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 59c | 84.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2710…e967backed Under | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Over | 49c | 83.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 38c | 83.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 78.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 42c | 73.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 30c | 69.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Under | 32c | 63.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 62c | 63.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Under | 67c | 61.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…9b4bbacked Under | 56c | 57.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 41c | 57.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Over | 59c | 55.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 59c | 53.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Under | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 62c | 50.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Under | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 74c | 48.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Under | 74c | 48.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 60c | 48.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 41c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 60c | 47.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Under | 48c | 45.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Under | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…d05ebacked Over | 42c | 37.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 44c | 33.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 40c | 32.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Over | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbf…8d1ebacked Over | 46c | 29.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Under | 40c | 27.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 62c | 26.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x695f…1b67backed Over | 62c | 25.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 67c | 25.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 45c | 24.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-2.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)Adelaide United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.