TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,752 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under56c14,059$7,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,932.7113049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Over62c7,462$4,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,835.72580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+131.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Over61c5,790$3,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,258.222850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over42c4,441$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,581.67875%6 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+77.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under59c4,385$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.936435.9%23 W · 41 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c3,859$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.198844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under73c1,601$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Over56c1,545$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.5914060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over19c1,500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.683616.7%6 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over44c999.97$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.992520%5 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-46.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c958.04$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.624732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over63c850.69$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.752161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over54c817.54$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.071741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under38c789.65$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.1434937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3643946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under47c677.86$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under38c629.24$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.116352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e3…fbb2backed Over33c580.85$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.174100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+138.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over35c549.14$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.948129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under50c522.05$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.441833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under50c438.73$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.2410633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Under48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under38c375.87$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.836549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under38c375.87$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.833946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over48c290.84$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.335925.4%15 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under57c287.75$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2915140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under38c249.19$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.695846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over45c242.72$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.122450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under61c233.19$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2410757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under38c227.42$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.423745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Over50c223.59$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.021181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under38c212.78$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.862240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over68c201.43$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.151526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c4…89cfbacked Over15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b39…65adbacked Over33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1341100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc112…3841backed Over25c194.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.77475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+83%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over55c190$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over62c189.14$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.871741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under38c187.1$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.111752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under55c162.28$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.943641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.89955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde1d…c645backed Under46c156.46$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.59540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Under25c152.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.270%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over47c149.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.53278.1%25 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bac…f1a6backed Under67c146.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.02944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over72c133.88$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.274461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over46c129.62$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.993452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under59c128.95$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-54.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under40c108.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.38922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Over13c108.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.352236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under38c102.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.075246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb1a1…ea66backed Under41c101.81$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Over58c99.87$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over60c91.89$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7511057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3492…969abacked Under56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over59c84.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.568353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2710…e967backed Under58c84.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Over49c83.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.413540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under38c83.64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7832453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over62c78.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.951241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over60c78.3$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.328853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over65c75.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.361952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under42c73.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.023256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over30c69.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+87.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over44c65.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99446.8%44 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Under32c63.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.241428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over62c63.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.961735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed Under67c61.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ab…9b4bbacked Under56c57.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under41c57.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.431968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed Over59c55.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over59c53.35$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8743748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a4…d8b4backed Under38c50.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under38c50.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.262445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over62c50.14$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.053327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c49.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.997739%30 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ed…b7adbacked Under39c49.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Under74c48.18$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.651450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Under74c48.18$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.651533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over60c48.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over41c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.11855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over60c47.17$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Under48c45.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b3e…b265backed Under56c43.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.34633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.48247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c1d…d05ebacked Over42c37.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.761050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under41c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.944450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dca…a234backed Over44c33.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.52333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under40c32.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.731060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819b…6a57backed Over62c31.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.982152.4%11 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick69cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bbf…8d1ebacked Over46c29.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcd…ac63backed Under40c27.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-36.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over62c26.23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.972642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x695f…1b67backed Over62c25.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Under67c25.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.841662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under45c24.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.092470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over61c24.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.371181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+44.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105832.8%19 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.