Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef4e13617361c588d27c670e921b9430a9aeb49d72e967d843579ff7f0c5460a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Yes | 47c | 8,587$4,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,551.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 53c | 3,537$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.39 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 3,525$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.67 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 2,565$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.04 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 1,282$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.95 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 53c | 1,245$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.1 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 66c | 742.12$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +206.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Yes | 74c | 665.14$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked No | 35c | 381.02$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.36 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…7200backed Yes | 63c | 324.77$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 58c | 288.44$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Yes | 55c | 270$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 36c | 265.84$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 264.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 66c | 257.83$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.66 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 33c | 209.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.52 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…0942backed Yes | 51c | 208.93$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 65c | 193.47$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +9.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Yes | 51c | 178.89$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.66 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 63c | 162.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Yes | 48c | 151.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +136.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Yes | 64c | 140.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 54c | 139.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed No | 51c | 132.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Yes | 64c | 129.85$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 65c | 121.84$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 68c | 117.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked No | 43c | 92.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaf…7231backed Yes | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 65c | 81.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 63c | 73.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 48c | 64.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed No | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 62c | 46.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 53c | 45.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 42c | 42.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 63c | 38.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked No | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed No | 53c | 35.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 34.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 63c | 30.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 37c | 30.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a03…279abacked No | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 62c | 22.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Yes | 64c | 19.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-2.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)Adelaide United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.