Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d957218bf73159e264743da75b8bbe30e664ddeef180e613a77a3e45ba417b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 13,597$8,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,533.56 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 41c | 12,200$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001.84 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 5,312$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.76 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 50c | 2,180$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.2 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 38c | 1,982$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.92 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 53c | 1,864$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.38 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 48c | 1,529$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.31 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 59c | 1,275$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.8 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 27c | 935.35$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.94 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Under | 66c | 600.98$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 585.82$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.98 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 48c | 583.22$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.27 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 31c | 488.45$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.48 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 427.22$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.52 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Under | 55c | 330$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 15c | 320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 52c | 299.26$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.76 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 40c | 270.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 269.96$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.19 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 66c | 248.73$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58bf…0740backed Over | 41c | 243.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 58c | 230.49$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Over | 34c | 208.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 52c | 197.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 8c | 196.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 65c | 189.23$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 55c | 183.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 27c | 163.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Over | 17c | 149.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Under | 79c | 148.62$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Under | 61c | 138.95$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 118.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 53c | 116.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 103.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 40c | 97.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 19c | 96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 54c | 80.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 29c | 68.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Under | 76c | 65.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +756.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…1ff8backed Over | 32c | 54.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 70c | 52.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 53c | 49.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 36c | 46.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 52c | 45.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ed…3b30backed Over | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f2…a3bbbacked Over | 36c | 41.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 28c | 40.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 49c | 40.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 67c | 38.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 52c | 37.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…a410backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 68c | 33.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 48c | 32.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 63c | 25.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 53c | 25.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…42d9backed Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 52c | 21.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Under | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01b5…6198backed Under | 71c | 17.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.