Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda3f851fd8b4855f2801488678f0267e46fe3627d03618c7af18358d1b3107c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 5,410$3,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,672.65 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 32c | 4,630$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.54 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 64c | 743.25$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.88 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 480.35$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.8 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 26c | 272$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.28 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 38c | 260$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 228.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Yes | 55c | 186.36$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…2cf7backed Yes | 57c | 140.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked No | 68c | 138.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 45c | 71.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 29c | 68.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…a565backed Yes | 38c | 65.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 53c | 59.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 57.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed No | 68c | 54.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 45c | 47.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 37c | 28.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 68c | 26.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 68c | 24.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked No | 67c | 17.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed No | 69c | 15.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 77c | 13.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.