Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7642012344f3aa9d0aab73490568d4a158e6e1430bd186284847bb49dc6588a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 12c | 3,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 10c | 896.39$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 6c | 670.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 19c | 567.26$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 32c | 499.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 15c | 342.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7983…c138backed Under | 71c | 157.78$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 31c | 103.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 28c | 89.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 30c | 66.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 68c | 62.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 67c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 69c | 57.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 30c | 44.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 70c | 26.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.