Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d7d45bd894cbb566fab39c5f8cfb7ca5f6b3d9711d782f86f54de43765adc8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FCof Shanghai Haigang FC, Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 73c | 3,878$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.65 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 16c | 2,546$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.58 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 31c | 1,068$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.37 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 29c | 948.28$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 33c | 834.65$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.53 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 31c | 599.98$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 31c | 591.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.52 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 15c | 307.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 68c | 292.55$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 69c | 269.52$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 69c | 247.74$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 33c | 228.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 79c | 225$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 31c | 183.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466c…f8e3backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 17c | 165.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 69c | 165.14$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 69c | 156.11$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 31c | 155.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 29c | 127.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 23c | 104.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 73c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 29c | 51.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 71c | 47.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 73c | 39.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 71c | 23.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 69c | 22.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 71c | 17.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 68c | 16.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 72c | 15.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.