Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x278fdb97b3590054c0d7ef51437ac54909d06d779aeb98bb28696fb91a3bc269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 40c | 2,943$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.51 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 2,772$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.05 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 40c | 2,517$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,516$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.97 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Over | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 52c | 639.1$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.97 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Over | 60c | 542.09$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 415.94$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.3 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 398.38$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.42 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 375.68$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 69c | 358.61$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 65c | 327.26$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.61 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +116%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 41c | 250.37$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.51 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 62c | 177.07$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 41c | 163.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fb…2de9backed Over | 79c | 127.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 68c | 111.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 43c | 106.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…9e7cbacked Over | 78c | 104.85$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 55c | 103.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…fae0backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 23c | 97.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 22c | 93.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 42c | 88.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 45c | 78.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 45c | 73.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 22c | 71.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…93ddbacked Over | 78c | 61.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 21c | 53.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 22c | 51.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 47c | 42.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 43c | 38.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Over | 66c | 35.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…e056backed Over | 79c | 30.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Over | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 64c | 25.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 51c | 19.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -8.5wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.