Mls · resolved market
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-10-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x568da53bee5c28f2bc93f3996905ff3e818afe074250c75a26322a185cb56f09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 62c | 5,764$3,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.34 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 32c | 3,154$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 37c | 1,725$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.83 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed Yes | 45c | 1,540$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 973$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.58 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 57c | 759.23$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.54 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 40c | 724.3$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…01a9backed Yes | 46c | 580.87$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 59c | 536.91$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…bfffbacked Yes | 39c | 433.29$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 38c | 420.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 35c | 356$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.98 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb0…cfdabacked Yes | 44c | 343.63$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 41c | 238.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 44c | 227.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…1930backed Yes | 45c | 224.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c0…940dbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 56c | 199.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.68 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 43c | 148.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…efa6backed Yes | 42c | 119.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…8d57backed Yes | 44c | 113.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 47c | 107.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 57c | 103.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 43c | 103.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 36c | 96.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 58c | 88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 40c | 87.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 70c | 69.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…f46ebacked No | 78c | 69.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc609…f29abacked Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8078backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba2…9becbacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…fb6bbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…b391backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 45c | 44.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b53…1fa3backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2457…54acbacked Yes | 37c | 30.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…fc22backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…1008backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 44c | 28.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 60c | 27.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-10-27?this page
- Will Minnesota United FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Minnesota United FC win on 2025-10-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.