La Liga · resolved market
Will Mallorca win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40cfe2bf7f55b37d60bdd0eb99daa8c7df2bd7a38e93b30da9974104d50b2ff3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 48c | 35,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,800 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 51c | 3,622$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.68 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 3,287$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.79 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 48c | 3,190$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.23 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 53c | 2,554$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.46 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 76c | 1,243$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.22 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 49c | 1,204$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.11 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 53c | 832.8$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.35 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…0aaebacked Yes | 13c | 778.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 545.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 79c | 386.19$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 35c | 340$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…8c93backed Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 23c | 250.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…a440backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 53c | 230.66$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 46c | 229.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 47c | 220.81$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 46c | 217$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 70c | 200.88$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f61…d03dbacked No | 53c | 188.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…6886backed Yes | 49c | 181.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 47c | 178.77$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 47c | 170.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 53c | 169.06$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 21c | 160$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…f0babacked Yes | 11c | 154$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 47c | 152.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 137.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed No | 54c | 136$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 48c | 135.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…bc8cbacked Yes | 17c | 117.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…3b7bbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…60afbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 28c | 96.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 46c | 90.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…15eabacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…675fbacked Yes | 18c | 83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 50c | 80.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa841…46cbbacked Yes | 24c | 66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf7…9e9abacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…ed7dbacked Yes | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 40cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 45c | 39.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 50c | 38.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 48c | 34.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 53c | 32.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…efa6backed Yes | 46c | 27.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 56c | 25.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…c15fbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…30ddbacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mallorca win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-10-26?No won
- Will Mallorca vs. Levante UD end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.