La Liga · resolved market
Will Mallorca vs. Levante UD end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec44a136202a32a5f8ae5b3e9d6029d0ecc9be0130faff436e6b820ada9cd824
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 29c | 6,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.98 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 71c | 1,865$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 44c | 1,258$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.58 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 962.33$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.24 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 497.95$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.04 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 491$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.61 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 62c | 481.46$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.37 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 30c | 336.67$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.67 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 71c | 317$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.07 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…0c0bbacked No | 26c | 300$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…792bbacked No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 239$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.47 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 31c | 197$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…3b7bbacked Yes | 29c | 189.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes | 31c | 156.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 74c | 156.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…50fbbacked No | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 70c | 103.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 31c | 79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 73.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 70c | 71.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 30c | 49.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 40cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 29c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…a17bbacked Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 70c | 34.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 70c | 29.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 74cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 71c | 16.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mallorca vs. Levante UD end in a draw?this page
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-10-26?No won
- Will Mallorca win on 2025-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.