Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0395396cf1e8f8435b30c0648eb71f8812c64463645cbe7fcad305daf96546f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 73c | 2,747$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.65 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 27c | 1,661$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.69 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…31c0backed Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 27c | 1,100$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.13 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…c164backed No | 31c | 650$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 24c | 514.47$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 27c | 480$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 75c | 446.43$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.43 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 74c | 440.35$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 20c | 413.55$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 28c | 285$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 76c | 277.63$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 73c | 245.21$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb053…180fbacked Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 27c | 189.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362b…3859backed Yes | 69c | 180$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…fed0backed Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 29c | 127.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 17c | 122$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06d…81ecbacked Yes | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…1952backed Yes | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…db37backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a92…c401backed Yes | 64c | 35.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe25…be4dbacked Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…9b6dbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…7765backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 72c | 27.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will FC Fredericia vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Fredericia win on 2025-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.