NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeec294c7f151acb472577cd699c635c70e6d1d5a32417dd66c24da431da85dab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cb6…3009backed Over | 50c | 8,904$4,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,454.24 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 5,286$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.5 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4874…7123backed Under | 48c | 1,635$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1c…2b46backed Over | 52c | 1,635$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…c079backed Over | 52c | 1,615$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea11…551abacked Under | 48c | 1,615$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 47c | 1,597$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.31 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 1,358$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 50c | 1,336$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Under | 49c | 966$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.66 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 52c | 581.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 48c | 563.04$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.82 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 55c | 550$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 52c | 432.69$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Under | 45c | 416.39$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.01 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…d613backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 45c | 299.97$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c68…fea4backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x647d…3cd9backed Over | 48c | 101.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…862dbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 98.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…f464backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5this page
- Pistons vs. 76ersPistons won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.