World Politics · resolved market
Will Brazil unban X before October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf763da232a56ed3ae55d6986b445db0ba4c6f7a53e9f91891dde750e18ae45b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $522,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $501,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $522,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x76e4…c5aebacked Yes | 34c | 29,436$9,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,918.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…acb7backed No | 68c | 28,885$19,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,337.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 25c | 24,734$6,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,093.64 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 20c | 13,472$2,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,681.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 32c | 12,519$4,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.41 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 76c | 12,410$9,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.87 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…3ca9backed No | 73c | 10,003$7,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…4973backed Yes | 19c | 9,800$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…91dbbacked Yes | 31c | 8,847$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…0218backed Yes | 11c | 8,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…221dbacked No | 43c | 7,275$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,112.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…730bbacked No | 74c | 6,538$4,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d5…6f6abacked Yes | 25c | 6,179$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d1…599dbacked No | 78c | 5,500$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd58…b17fbacked Yes | 19c | 5,440$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 22c | 5,341$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.76 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…4787backed Yes | 18c | 4,655$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…ddf6backed No | 60c | 4,506$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked No | 67c | 4,452$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 19c | 4,447$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.86 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 78c | 4,299$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.02 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 24c | 4,219$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.85 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5640…8c99backed Yes | 28c | 4,217$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…c040backed Yes | 13c | 3,699$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed No | 73c | 3,625$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.19 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 74c | 3,465$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.59 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 71c | 3,321$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.56 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…1a95backed No | 71c | 3,155$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked Yes | 42c | 2,810$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.39 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…489dbacked Yes | 36c | 2,740$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…3143backed No | 75c | 2,722$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 2,562$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.14 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked No | 74c | 2,358$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 17c | 2,292$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.26 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed No | 32c | 2,256$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.73 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…4699backed Yes | 28c | 2,250$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd649…ebe1backed Yes | 44c | 2,250$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 27c | 2,244$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.85 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 24c | 2,146$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.76 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 22c | 2,052$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.56 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…83debacked Yes | 54c | 2,035$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,998$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8633…a08dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,960$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…b113backed No | 63c | 1,923$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…eb95backed Yes | 14c | 1,875$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Yes | 12c | 1,810$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked No | 54c | 1,773$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 31c | 1,729$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.6 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…cdd3backed Yes | 24c | 1,643$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc237…b3f1backed No | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 29c | 1,578$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.43 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…0312backed Yes | 43c | 1,523$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…f23cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,490$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…0642backed No | 44c | 1,480$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200a…2a4cbacked No | 48c | 1,429$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce5…648cbacked Yes | 66c | 1,415$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…55c1backed Yes | 74c | 1,342$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…1f80backed Yes | 37c | 1,308$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed No | 63c | 1,281$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,264$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.73 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e48…917bbacked No | 76c | 1,227$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…700fbacked No | 72c | 1,218$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed No | 51c | 1,188$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.44 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 1,187$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.37 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 79c | 1,103$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.22 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed Yes | 41c | 1,085$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Yes | 36c | 1,064$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.89 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3f…2053backed No | 75c | 1,054$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.39 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed No | 57c | 1,047$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e1…98fcbacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 63c | 977.75$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.77 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…eae9backed No | 63c | 968.87$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2d…c86ebacked Yes | 38c | 922.72$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 20c | 915.17$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed No | 74c | 913.9$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a2…5470backed Yes | 27c | 898.88$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…c428backed No | 40c | 865.1$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5c…5d56backed Yes | 11c | 851.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7303…4f7abacked Yes | 79c | 824.6$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaab…d94bbacked Yes | 29c | 820.95$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…a83cbacked Yes | 37c | 810.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 35c | 805.88$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.12 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…4278backed No | 79c | 800.71$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b3…7469backed Yes | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a37…712abacked No | 64c | 781.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 53c | 723.19$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.76 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 73c | 709.98$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.43 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fac…574ebacked Yes | 17c | 691.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 28c | 691.4$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.67 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…9839backed No | 63c | 664.95$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Yes | 32c | 600$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 80c | 599.97$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Yes | 76c | 588.42$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…0380backed Yes | 18c | 585.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d6…0b9cbacked No | 72c | 584.07$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 35c | 579.42$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.34 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…e7e3backed No | 68c | 558.45$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…32a7backed Yes | 20c | 542.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 20c | 529.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.05 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.