MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa8d1f6d083746b50636271f4bdf232693f0163e5c62e96254584834bd0008da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Padres, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $711,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $742,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $711,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Dodgers | 57c | 507,501$291,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215,714.21 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 43c | 135,127$57,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,609.21 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Padres | 42c | 82,250$34,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,545 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Padres | 42c | 63,000$26,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,460 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Padres | 43c | 62,255$26,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,769.56 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Padres | 43c | 45,318$19,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,486.74 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Padres | 43c | 34,065$14,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,648.03 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres | 42c | 30,046$12,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,619.32 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Padres | 42c | 21,900$9,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,198 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked Dodgers | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,799.95 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Dodgers | 58c | 18,900$10,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,938.06 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 43c | 17,332$7,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,379.47 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…e954backed Dodgers | 58c | 17,085$9,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,175.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Padres | 42c | 13,000$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 26c | 7,783$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 39c | 7,727$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.54 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 42c | 7,700$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Dodgers | 69c | 7,482$5,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.73 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Padres | 30c | 6,696$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 44c | 5,404$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.72 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Padres | 38c | 5,337$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.73 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers | 57c | 4,444$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.92 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Dodgers | 72c | 4,183$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.56 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 27c | 3,854$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Padres | 38c | 3,553$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Padres | 43c | 3,240$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.56 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Padres | 43c | 3,001$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.27 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Padres | 34c | 2,770$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.81 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Padres | 43c | 2,666$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.29 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Padres | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Dodgers | 58c | 2,498$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.26 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 27c | 2,221$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.66 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…7a36backed Dodgers | 58c | 2,092$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Padres | 16c | 2,017$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.8 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Padres | 32c | 1,816$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.3 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Padres | 43c | 1,689$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.49 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 24c | 1,516$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.95 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 33c | 1,501$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.25 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Padres | 43c | 1,499$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.57 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Dodgers | 71c | 1,272$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.13 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Padres | 17c | 1,258$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.18 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Padres | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Padres | 24c | 992.94$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.88 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Padres | 15c | 929.82$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.58 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Padres | 8c | 925$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Dodgers | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Dodgers | 69c | 846.28$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.15 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Dodgers | 58c | 799.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Padres | 43c | 757.26$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.46 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Dodgers | 75c | 750.87$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Padres | 28c | 669$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.7 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 28c | 600.71$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Padres | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 42c | 589.03$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.39 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Padres | 44c | 569.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Dodgers | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Padres | 43c | 540$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.2 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Dodgers | 57c | 526$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.18 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Dodgers | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Padres | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Padres | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Padres | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Padres | 28c | 495.07$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Padres | 25c | 485.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Padres | 38c | 479.79$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.21 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Padres | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Padres | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Padres | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Dodgers | 58c | 434.91$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.66 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…d17cbacked Dodgers | 78c | 423.87$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…23d2backed Dodgers | 58c | 405.17$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.17 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Padres | 25c | 401.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Padres | 43c | 366$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.7 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Padres | 42c | 360$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Padres | 44c | 339$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.16 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Padres | 43c | 332$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Padres | 43c | 326$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.18 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Padres | 43c | 324.28$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…4a80backed Padres | 13c | 313.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Padres | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Padres | 30c | 288.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Padres | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Padres | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Dodgers | 55c | 247.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…3885backed Padres | 43c | 246.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 31c | 241.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Dodgers | 58c | 232.76$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Padres | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…4869backed Padres | 43c | 232.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Padres | 43c | 230.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 43c | 230.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Padres | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Dodgers | 60c | 226.32$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.