NFL · resolved market
Cowboys vs. Steelers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc61afd46c5ffa9188ea7ad2ef8693515599cf478005f1645f9871d9753d963b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cowboysof Cowboys, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6356…1885backed Cowboys | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.99 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Steelers | 56c | 9,839$5,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,496 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Cowboys | 48c | 9,449$4,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,868.91 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Cowboys | 43c | 7,283$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,151.49 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…b5f3backed Cowboys | 67c | 7,011$4,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Steelers | 42c | 5,250$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Steelers | 41c | 4,419$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.13 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Steelers | 59c | 4,321$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.9 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Steelers | 58c | 4,000$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.47 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Steelers | 57c | 3,664$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.24 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Steelers | 57c | 3,427$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.23 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Steelers | 54c | 3,363$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.64 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Cowboys | 42c | 3,001$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.97 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Cowboys | 56c | 2,700$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…e314backed Steelers | 48c | 2,651$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Cowboys | 45c | 2,402$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.38 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed Cowboys | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Cowboys | 52c | 2,300$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.04 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84e9…e2ecbacked Steelers | 59c | 2,168$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Cowboys | 42c | 2,020$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.01 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…8469backed Steelers | 57c | 2,000$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Steelers | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Steelers | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Cowboys | 54c | 1,686$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.69 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Cowboys | 43c | 1,605$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.15 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Cowboys | 63c | 1,523$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.95 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Cowboys | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.01 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Cowboys | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.97 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Steelers | 19c | 1,397$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.77 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Cowboys | 42c | 1,386$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.11 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Steelers | 45c | 1,330$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.7 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ee…d947backed Steelers | 52c | 1,062$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.69 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Cowboys | 44c | 1,000$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Steelers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…079fbacked Cowboys | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Steelers | 57c | 951.91$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Cowboys | 55c | 950$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.79 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…3834backed Steelers | 43c | 900$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Steelers | 51c | 699.75$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.16 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Cowboys | 43c | 693.75$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.38 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…12e7backed Steelers | 58c | 656.59$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Steelers | 62c | 612.08$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.49 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Steelers | 58c | 608.67$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.03 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…2e53backed Cowboys | 50c | 600$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…f261backed Steelers | 56c | 600$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Cowboys | 44c | 597.01$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.33 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28eb…fd31backed Steelers | 58c | 567.02$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Steelers | 43c | 565.89$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.52 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Steelers | 58c | 552.05$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.03 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…ae66backed Steelers | 58c | 549.48$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Steelers | 58c | 538.29$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Steelers | 58c | 531.07$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.02 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Steelers | 58c | 520$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Cowboys | 43c | 515.83$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.02 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Cowboys | 50c | 502.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.42 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Cowboys | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Cowboys | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Cowboys | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…2758backed Cowboys | 43c | 490.43$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.94 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +11.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…efb8backed Steelers | 47c | 475.57$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.37 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x675b…822abacked Cowboys | 55c | 471.03$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Steelers | 58c | 470.69$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cowboys | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Steelers | 58c | 411.12$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3816…634dbacked Steelers | 58c | 402.33$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c46…5748backed Cowboys | 43c | 401.72$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…1b0fbacked Cowboys | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Steelers | 24c | 369.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Cowboys | 61c | 362.67$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Steelers | 58c | 361.67$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.77 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…4236backed Steelers | 6c | 349.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…e38abacked Steelers | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Steelers | 47c | 336.06$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.15 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Cowboys | 42c | 332.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.13 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Cowboys | 45c | 332.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.48 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b3cbacked Steelers | 58c | 326.59$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.97 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb219…5d8abacked Cowboys | 43c | 323.26$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Cowboys | 43c | 316.28$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.28 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…0dc4backed Steelers | 27c | 314.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…21a8backed Steelers | 49c | 301.26$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.76 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Steelers | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Cowboys | 61c | 300$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…60a6backed Cowboys | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Steelers | 58c | 280$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Steelers | 57c | 276.77$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.96 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…6043backed Cowboys | 43c | 266.61$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.73 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Cowboys | 49c | 260.59$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Steelers | 57c | 260$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…951dbacked Steelers | 29c | 258.55$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Steelers | 58c | 257.47$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…28cfbacked Cowboys | 34c | 250$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Cowboys | 42c | 249.97$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.98 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…a9bdbacked Steelers | 36c | 240.01$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Cowboys | 43c | 233$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd927…d5c3backed Cowboys | 43c | 226.28$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Cowboys | 46c | 218.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.24 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96fa…baadbacked Steelers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -60%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed Steelers | 58c | 206.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…afafbacked Steelers | 58c | 201.49$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cowboys | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.