Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bucknell Bison vs. Rider Broncs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe782b506107a554e4cffde5373db2bc1d36203478d46be0c723abe952b5ab943
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucknell Bisonof Bucknell Bison, Rider Broncs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rider Broncs | 43c | 1,276$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.21 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bucknell Bison | 58c | 968$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.68 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucknell Bison | 67c | 793.84$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.25 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rider Broncs | 42c | 784.19$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.24 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Bucknell Bison | 59c | 663.25$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.93 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rider Broncs | 43c | 388.22$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bucknell Bison | 56c | 301.94$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.85 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rider Broncs | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Bucknell Bison | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…28b4backed Rider Broncs | 17c | 215.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rider Broncs | 44c | 201.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucknell Bison | 57c | 155$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Bucknell Bison | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Bucknell Bison | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Rider Broncs | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Rider Broncs | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Rider Broncs | 39c | 97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Rider Broncs | 14c | 88.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…595bbacked Rider Broncs | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rider Broncs | 42c | 63.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Bucknell Bison | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681f…ca51backed Bucknell Bison | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Bucknell Bison | 70c | 52.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…04f6backed Bucknell Bison | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Rider Broncs | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Rider Broncs | 44c | 46.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Rider Broncs | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rider Broncs | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Rider Broncs | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…8651backed Bucknell Bison | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rider Broncs | 35c | 36.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…6ea7backed Rider Broncs | 45c | 35.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Bucknell Bison | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Bucknell Bison | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Rider Broncs | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Bucknell Bison | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Bucknell Bison | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Bucknell Bison | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c9…4cecbacked Rider Broncs | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Bucknell Bison | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bucknell Bison | 67c | 18.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Bucknell Bison | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed Bucknell Bison | 59c | 17.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.