TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Lions vs. Cowboys

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lionsof Lions, Cowboys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,232
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,232 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfdf1…c324backed Cowboys38c26,316$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed Lions62c22,638$14,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,602.325846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Cowboys26c15,960$4,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,132.7432438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Cowboys37c15,668$5,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,847.1925137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed Cowboys38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8006350.8%32 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Lions62c5,428$3,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.2144246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Lions62c5,185$3,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.7336246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Cowboys36c5,094$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.7512051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Lions64c4,725$3,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.3514457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Lions73c4,058$2,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.6614248.6%69 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Lions80c3,274$2,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.822638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Cowboys3c3,038$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4633328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Cowboys37c3,033$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.5612827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Cowboys14c1,500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20516832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb49…97a0backed Cowboys11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e1…921ebacked Lions70c1,078$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.333063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Cowboys32c1,007$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.5210144.6%45 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Cowboys41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.7530446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Lions64c971.59$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.0823351.9%121 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd35d…7089backed Cowboys44c909.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014452.8%76 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Lions64c890$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.422142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Cowboys23c808.64$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7421713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Lions63c799.97$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.996157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Lions62c769$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.2227339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79ac…1046backed Cowboys41c536.59$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-64.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8890…79bdbacked Cowboys38c530$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Cowboys19c508.34$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.334330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cowboys11c500$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.552828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842c…2e53backed Cowboys13c500$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.689842.9%42 W · 56 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Cowboys39c444$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1620736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Lions64c410.59$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8113040%52 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Cowboys35c405.8$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.16518.5%12 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-50.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Lions62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.237058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5e2…25f7backed Cowboys36c400$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7613348.1%64 W · 69 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0232…9391backed Lions60c400$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15910256.9%58 W · 44 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0afb…74fabacked Lions64c326.56$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aef…5822backed Cowboys37c326.07$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…efb8backed Lions64c325.21$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.086058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc88c…6229backed Lions62c323.71$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.013100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Lions64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.513260.6%80 W · 52 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Cowboys39c299.97$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9916139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bd7…c1f3backed Cowboys39c299.89$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2610052%52 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Cowboys35c291.39$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.195945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2376…30f5backed Cowboys38c263.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010452.9%55 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Lions62c263$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9419864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ba…ee42backed Cowboys4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Lions64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9020246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3959…a574backed Cowboys12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304630.4%14 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe200…15d6backed Lions63c245.4$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.81457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc338…dc01backed Cowboys39c241.79$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdec6…a3c7backed Lions63c239.37$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3ed…0bb4backed Cowboys21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508321.7%18 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Lions63c235$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8529356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Lions64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3818650.5%94 W · 92 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Lions61c225.87$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8711949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Lions61c224.97$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.746448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4170…7e1bbacked Lions62c222.74$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Lions64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7238459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Cowboys11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2216439.6%65 W · 99 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe09…7597backed Lions61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf094…13d6backed Cowboys40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x752e…81c4backed Lions64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9d5…6f6abacked Lions68c185$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+44.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0c9…683fbacked Cowboys40c170$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44c…34f9backed Lions61c170$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Lions64c164.34$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.164630.4%14 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Lions63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732777.8%21 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5706…44acbacked Cowboys18c156.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.415532.7%18 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6019…f460backed Cowboys38c156.05$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.31560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Lions61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.519654.1%106 W · 90 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a49…6681backed Cowboys38c147.37$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-71%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Cowboys31c142.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4431032.6%101 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x660f…ec30backed Cowboys36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ac…6df6backed Cowboys38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019261.5%118 W · 74 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe45e…ebb0backed Cowboys39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504833.3%16 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f51…787bbacked Cowboys39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1612…1f88backed Cowboys39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Lions61c122.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9513655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf753…57bcbacked Cowboys39c110.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe128…243fbacked Cowboys39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.30per pick39cpaid-84%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x541e…e793backed Cowboys39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7882…b86abacked Cowboys11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58fa…5a5abacked Cowboys38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb65d…3757backed Lions62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c0e…1411backed Lions63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ef0…6ca1backed Cowboys39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Lions62c99.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.537556.3%211 W · 164 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6f6…8afbbacked Cowboys38c99.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ea…6fbabacked Lions61c99.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa9…9b65backed Lions61c99.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x338c…ac4bbacked Lions61c99.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49db…6bb8backed Lions61c99.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2c…2f5dbacked Lions61c99.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ba…f362backed Lions61c99.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x898f…5538backed Lions61c99.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71fe…92c9backed Lions61c99.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20a5…6c7dbacked Lions61c99.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16e3…d8fabacked Lions61c99.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a7…9751backed Lions61c99.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a9…4170backed Lions61c99.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.