Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will UConn win the NCAA tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeebbc24fde6f93097e4aa7c5d3e820fee6573adf47dec4075800efa1727a7fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 30c | 22,626$6,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,936.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Yes | 62c | 14,936$9,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,717.13 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 37c | 6,460$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,067.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b7…3882backed No | 57c | 6,221$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.27 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 34c | 5,950$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.96 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c5…46e1backed No | 48c | 4,800$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 63c | 4,000$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.47 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 63c | 3,983$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Yes | 74c | 3,295$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 57c | 3,268$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.8 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 55c | 2,620$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.62 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Yes | 19c | 2,617$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…da79backed No | 70c | 2,400$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 28c | 1,872$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.26 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…c0f4backed Yes | 43c | 1,250$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c5…9256backed Yes | 63c | 1,247$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d9…87c0backed Yes | 63c | 631.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed Yes | 52c | 573.42$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…6d01backed No | 38c | 523.64$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No | 22c | 494$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 52c | 447.34$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.81 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f87…b864backed Yes | 63c | 396.78$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156d…5f0cbacked Yes | 64c | 390.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd279…e09dbacked No | 64c | 300$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked No | 58c | 219.14$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…d90dbacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267b…d3e2backed Yes | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3756…ed8cbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ec…2d07backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f0…f002backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…8397backed Yes | 64c | 70.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3777…6c4bbacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc411…caa7backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c95…a40fbacked Yes | 63c | 37.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Yes | 74c | 22.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…7e6dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UConn win the NCAA tournament?this page
- Will Alabama win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Arizona win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Auburn win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will BYU win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Baylor win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Clemson win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Creighton win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Duke win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Fla. Atlantic win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Florida win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Gonzaga win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Houston win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Illinois win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Kansas win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Kentucky win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Marquette win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Mississippi St. win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Nebraska win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will North Carolina win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Purdue win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Saint Mary's win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will San Diego St. win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Tennessee win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Texas win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Washington St. win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will Wisconsin win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will a 9-16 seed win the NCAA tournament?No won
- Will the Iowa State University win the NCAA tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.