AI · resolved market
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70990066224eee496d662c5de5df0c5121bfd7ae796cff23e4c2afe2acdfd196
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e0e…12b3backed Yes | 79c | 2,728$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 27c | 2,476$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.01 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +12.9wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 27c | 1,829$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.46 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…c073backed Yes | 70c | 999.98$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 18c | 914.52$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.17 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc193…872dbacked Yes | 65c | 649$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1584…71b6backed No | 5c | 645.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…eda2backed No | 28c | 616.46$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a75…5271backed No | 32c | 609.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 72c | 569.13$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.81 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6513…8c10backed No | 15c | 510.88$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 16c | 393.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…e85ebacked Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 26c | 290.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ce…ba6bbacked Yes | 76c | 246$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb6…32b9backed Yes | 75c | 201.33$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 38c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce32…a145backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82c…0f6fbacked No | 27c | 190$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa7…0b13backed No | 30c | 166.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked No | 32c | 155.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 49c | 150.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d88…b0c4backed Yes | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 72c | 139.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 39c | 134.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…6fdebacked Yes | 41c | 130.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc083…0376backed Yes | 73c | 127.3$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399a…1482backed Yes | 70c | 126.8$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 24c | 120.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 34c | 115.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…7c77backed Yes | 77c | 108.2$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…73bdbacked Yes | 67c | 107.87$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…3e11backed No | 33c | 105.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…b402backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ede…b67bbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd042…215fbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…6f83backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…e03abacked Yes | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9972…c3a6backed Yes | 77c | 99.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 26c | 96.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4dac…f726backed No | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…97d5backed Yes | 75c | 80.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33da…f818backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7957…ddbcbacked Yes | 55c | 69.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b25…f0d6backed Yes | 70c | 69.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 35c | 67.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…1920backed Yes | 80c | 59.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…9f2abacked No | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…16f6backed Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…3b77backed Yes | 66c | 52.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0302…8fe8backed Yes | 78c | 52.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…fb83backed Yes | 78c | 49.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d1…d015backed Yes | 73c | 49.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fc…a221backed Yes | 74c | 45.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…aa48backed Yes | 69c | 40.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…1c6cbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…2f62backed Yes | 62c | 38.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…baf4backed No | 31c | 36.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…29bcbacked Yes | 70c | 36.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed No | 43c | 34.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7b…a42ebacked Yes | 73c | 34.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…68e2backed Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…a888backed Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49da…3b0cbacked Yes | 73c | 31.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c88…3921backed Yes | 66c | 30.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…2fc6backed Yes | 68c | 29.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f35…517dbacked Yes | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9956…ec0cbacked Yes | 78c | 26.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfac…490fbacked Yes | 77c | 26.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…e305backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…a9fdbacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa1…f742backed Yes | 63c | 25.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…5fdabacked Yes | 71c | 24.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ae…e0a9backed Yes | 71c | 22.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec8…e6c4backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…acedbacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…2637backed Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6a…d3a2backed Yes | 79c | 18.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1846…24b7backed Yes | 69c | 17.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb506…832dbacked Yes | 71c | 16.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…6266backed Yes | 74c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?this page
- Will CapCut - Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?No won
- Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?No won
- Will GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?No won
- Will Sora be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?No won
- Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.