Premier League · resolved market
Who will advance: Barcelona or PSG?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce6ebe6889158bfd404f992507a319deb704b1d6d824234c2fb8a2e691706b4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PSGof Barcelona, PSG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Barcelona | 76c | 4,563$3,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.95 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745b…ff04backed PSG | 25c | 3,494$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.65 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed PSG | 25c | 1,994$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.71 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Barcelona | 76c | 1,792$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.34 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Barcelona | 75c | 800$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…85aabacked PSG | 26c | 469.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Barcelona | 58c | 454.67$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.48 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c5…9256backed Barcelona | 74c | 445.95$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Barcelona | 77c | 445.21$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a1…d9bbbacked PSG | 24c | 418.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +293.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…9047backed PSG | 25c | 393$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…b625backed PSG | 24c | 330.83$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked PSG | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Barcelona | 66c | 291.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.46 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Barcelona | 74c | 268$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.32 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b0…d679backed PSG | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Barcelona | 74c | 243$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.82 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…c50bbacked PSG | 25c | 100.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +146.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed PSG | 25c | 80.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…3f8bbacked PSG | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Barcelona | 44c | 51.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…4032backed PSG | 55c | 41.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa8…5fffbacked PSG | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Barcelona | 45c | 38.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Barcelona | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.