College Football · resolved market
Will Ohio St. beat Oregon?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2687d50ab6aaa413c6a02ca5fff8ea8c855eb4f1a340208c0fdb93d6d62b21ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oregonof OSU, Oregon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1608…a990backed OSU | 18c | 12,189$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.16 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed OSU | 63c | 5,576$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.89 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Oregon | 39c | 4,588$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.88 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Oregon | 37c | 4,269$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.59 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Oregon | 78c | 3,265$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.63 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +600.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked OSU | 67c | 2,282$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Oregon | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked OSU | 59c | 1,715$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.73 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Oregon | 35c | 1,000$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Oregon | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Oregon | 39c | 1,000$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.19 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed OSU | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1a…efe7backed Oregon | 58c | 985$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…cca6backed OSU | 75c | 846.41$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…535fbacked OSU | 77c | 762.47$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…82fbbacked Oregon | 63c | 736.76$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.26 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed OSU | 78c | 612.77$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.96 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Oregon | 41c | 560$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…ba4abacked Oregon | 37c | 556.73$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed OSU | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked OSU | 57c | 450$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Oregon | 48c | 437.43$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.46 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked OSU | 62c | 403.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Oregon | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d6…b079backed Oregon | 43c | 387.22$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefcd…e2ebbacked Oregon | 48c | 369.92$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Oregon | 20c | 350.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.08 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked OSU | 60c | 333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…52b9backed Oregon | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…8669backed Oregon | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed Oregon | 45c | 275.4$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.93 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…53fcbacked OSU | 62c | 264$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Oregon | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a91…65a6backed Oregon | 41c | 242.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Oregon | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…a8e0backed Oregon | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Oregon | 39c | 199.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed OSU | 58c | 168.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked OSU | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa310…4c56backed Oregon | 46c | 155.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Oregon | 35c | 154.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed OSU | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Oregon | 36c | 126.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Oregon | 37c | 122.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.45 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf3…6bf4backed OSU | 59c | 116.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…a574backed OSU | 50c | 109.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Oregon | 47c | 102.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed OSU | 57c | 101.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed OSU | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…2c98backed Oregon | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed OSU | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8016…9894backed Oregon | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked OSU | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Oregon | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Oregon | 28c | 88.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed OSU | 62c | 80.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Oregon | 40c | 76.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe1…73f9backed Oregon | 40c | 75.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…ce4abacked OSU | 62c | 75.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…dcf4backed OSU | 63c | 69.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Oregon | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…efb8backed Oregon | 51c | 59.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Oregon | 25c | 55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed OSU | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Oregon | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1516backed OSU | 64c | 48.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e1…12d4backed OSU | 43c | 48.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…c88cbacked OSU | 73c | 41.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Oregon | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a3…dbc4backed Oregon | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…1cc1backed Oregon | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22e…c0aebacked Oregon | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…25e4backed OSU | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55e…3aecbacked OSU | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486c…3d03backed OSU | 60c | 30.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed OSU | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…2eaabacked OSU | 51c | 29.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed OSU | 60c | 28.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68ec…b8b7backed OSU | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…f6d2backed OSU | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ohio St. beat Oregon?this page
- Will Ohio St. and Oregon combine for 54 or more points?Over won
- Will Ohio St. beat Oregon by 4 or more points?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.