TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Kayserispor win on 2026-05-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,573 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4064…f741backed Yes55c14,380$7,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,884.17128.3%1 W · 11 L-5.1wins-0.43per pick51cpaid-83.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No45c5,875$2,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,222.722,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No42c5,555$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,219.658245.1%37 W · 45 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+19.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No46c2,565$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.222245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b70…6ccebacked Yes57c1,764$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No45c1,600$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88011952.9%63 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81086960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes18c1,232$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4638147.5%181 W · 200 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No45c1,200$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6607552%39 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No73c1,089$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.641,28250.2%644 W · 638 L-25.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes49c970.22$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.475,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes36c917.26$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.8671533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes21c750$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.423747.7%113 W · 124 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes54c707.41$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38226549.4%131 W · 134 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No45c700$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38510057%57 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Yes33c697.39$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes52c601.32$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.2194043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33011254.5%61 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2208160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No45c391.59$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.5913860.1%83 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes55c350$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.51,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No41c340.56$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9320632%66 W · 140 L-17.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes19c309$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3232350.2%162 W · 161 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No45c277$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.351,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No45c276.98$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.341,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No45c260$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14314050%70 W · 70 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No45c260$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1439457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No45c249.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.51,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1108554.1%46 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No45c190.71$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0223546.8%110 W · 125 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No80c185$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7117836.5%65 W · 113 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9910753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013251.5%68 W · 64 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce8…fc49backed Yes44c171.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c166.9$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.912,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889761.9%60 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886651.5%34 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes56c140$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8915548.4%75 W · 80 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed No44c139.19$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.765534.5%19 W · 36 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-36.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes16c122.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3313528.9%39 W · 96 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No45c116$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.86861.8%42 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yes34c107.47$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2410430.8%32 W · 72 L-12.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes27c106.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7212548%60 W · 65 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No42c104$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3212437.9%47 W · 77 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No44c102.8$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.561,22251%623 W · 599 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3151140.9%209 W · 302 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107926.6%21 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5510458.7%61 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559256.5%52 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e1…921ebacked No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes54c99.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes27c99.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.477922.8%18 W · 61 L-14.9wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-65.2%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes15c98.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8418241.8%76 W · 106 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed No57c93.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.171353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No46c87.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.322,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes18c85.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3410524.8%26 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes54c85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.925859.7%154 W · 104 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No45c84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.22,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes29c80.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1358320.1%117 W · 466 L-37.7wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0721247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4411351.3%58 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448258.5%48 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes28c73.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.448230.5%25 W · 57 L-11.3wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No41c73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0720550.7%104 W · 101 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes23c72.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.723743.9%104 W · 133 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes26c70.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0467348.1%324 W · 349 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No44c68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0838147.5%181 W · 200 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes43c67.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.049042.2%38 W · 52 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes33c62.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8764842%272 W · 376 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339258.7%54 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336750.7%34 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337659.2%45 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No45c59.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8727352.7%144 W · 129 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No49c53.1$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1277350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No56c52.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2389258.2%519 W · 373 L+58.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2753655.2%296 W · 240 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.145547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes41c48.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No48c46.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.077173.2%52 W · 19 L+15.4wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+53.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Yes52c46.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0713036.9%48 W · 82 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No45c46.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3430646.7%143 W · 163 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ba…bcf9backed No45c46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.31225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked No44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.457334.2%25 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No47c43.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8738358.7%225 W · 158 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No47c43.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8732259.3%191 W · 131 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed No46c42.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7333858.6%198 W · 140 L+30.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.627246.3%126 W · 146 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226154.1%33 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226360.3%38 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed No52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.463455.9%19 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No43c36.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.689639.6%38 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes39c33.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8998653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.924454.9%134 W · 110 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.48852.3%46 W · 42 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.58256.1%46 W · 36 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ba81backed Yes55c25.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No46c25.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6391148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.