College Football · resolved market
Jerry Rice Team vs. Louisiana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eca1538c1c071a4652d8d578059115b41c7e004c99d0fe260342509d2e14f02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jerry Rice Teamof Jerry Rice Team, Louisiana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Louisiana | 32c | 473.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Jerry Rice Team | 20c | 252.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.83 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…a08abacked Louisiana | 80c | 243.29$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Jerry Rice Team | 66c | 196.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Jerry Rice Team | 21c | 133.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Jerry Rice Team | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Louisiana | 77c | 111.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Jerry Rice Team | 23c | 111.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Jerry Rice Team | 51c | 89.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Louisiana | 45c | 84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Jerry Rice Team | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Louisiana | 79c | 68.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…eab4backed Louisiana | 79c | 63.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Jerry Rice Team | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Louisiana | 43c | 46.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Louisiana | 78c | 45.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Louisiana | 47c | 42.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Louisiana | 78c | 36.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Louisiana | 77c | 33.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Jerry Rice Team | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Jerry Rice Team | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Louisiana | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Jerry Rice Team | 65c | 22.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…4a8abacked Louisiana | 79c | 21.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.