Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee35d1b6c09375628aa3e340a619841a6edcfe64703aa40a69fe2323b5bb9904
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsof Cleveland State Vikings, Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 57c | 3,967$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.6 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 67c | 2,386$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Cleveland State Vikings | 60c | 2,302$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.07 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 34c | 1,551$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.17 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 58c | 1,011$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.88 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 44c | 988.37$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.7 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 22c | 486$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.73 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 43c | 457$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.48 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Cleveland State Vikings | 21c | 456.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 60c | 415.05$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.97 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…ce61backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 27c | 316.1$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 17c | 225.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Cleveland State Vikings | 44c | 218$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Cleveland State Vikings | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 67c | 161.35$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 57c | 134.51$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Cleveland State Vikings | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Cleveland State Vikings | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 46c | 63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Cleveland State Vikings | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…e2eebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 79c | 18.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsthis page
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons: O/U 157.5Under won
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons: O/U 158.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.