MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7679b6d1e27fce0bb7ed32958f25c2a7f1fba981ed4650af333de22f6c848e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Nationals, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 61c | 7,044$4,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,288.06 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nationals | 6c | 4,952$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.8 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Nationals | 35c | 2,895$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nationals | 66c | 2,213$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.56 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nationals | 39c | 2,052$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.27 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…03b2backed Nationals | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Nationals | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nationals | 14c | 1,816$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.13 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Nationals | 57c | 1,748$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 61c | 1,704$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.56 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 32c | 1,570$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.27 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x592a…7a5ebacked Nationals | 64c | 1,367$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Nationals | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Padres | 61c | 1,221$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.31 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d5…48e6backed Padres | 61c | 1,098$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Padres | 47c | 1,031$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.45 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 34c | 1,020$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.09 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4c…e162backed Padres | 61c | 902$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 34c | 895.76$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.25 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Padres | 61c | 725.26$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.85 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.29 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…fe12backed Padres | 40c | 679.98$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 60c | 665$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Nationals | 11c | 633.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nationals | 4c | 590$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…a1a1backed Nationals | 19c | 569.46$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Nationals | 27c | 509.19$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Padres | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Nationals | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Padres | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Padres | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Padres | 61c | 470.93$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.66 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Nationals | 78c | 429.05$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.16 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres | 33c | 400$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Nationals | 73c | 369.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.09 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…975dbacked Padres | 70c | 357.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 37c | 342.86$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Padres | 42c | 331.66$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.74 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Padres | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Padres | 38c | 312.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.58 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Padres | 53c | 312.17$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.72 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Padres | 61c | 306.3$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Nationals | 11c | 303.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 47c | 300$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.41 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Padres | 36c | 285.85$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.62 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Nationals | 39c | 283.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.67 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 38c | 276.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Nationals | 74c | 268.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Nationals | 40c | 260.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Nationals | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Padres | 61c | 220.18$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Padres | 70c | 210.26$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 40c | 164.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Padres | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres | 60c | 159.84$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Padres | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Nationals | 66c | 150.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Nationals | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Nationals | 39c | 133$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Nationals | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 40c | 124.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Padres | 67c | 117$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Nationals | 39c | 111$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Nationals | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed Padres | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ca4abacked Padres | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Nationals | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Nationals | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Padres | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 25c | 88.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Padres | 61c | 86.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Padres | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Nationals | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…c3cbbacked Nationals | 71c | 70.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Padres | 63c | 63.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Padres | 78c | 57.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…198bbacked Padres | 61c | 56.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Padres | 38c | 56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…5ac2backed Nationals | 40c | 55.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Padres | 37c | 51.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Padres | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Nationals | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…58acbacked Nationals | 40c | 45.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked Padres | 45c | 44.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Nationals | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Nationals | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Nationals | 75c | 34.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Padres | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Padres | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Nationals | 60c | 31.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da0…2825backed Nationals | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Nationals | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…db98backed Nationals | 49c | 26.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4510…9d50backed Padres | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…0c63backed Padres | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.