Movies · resolved market
Will 'Anora' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2808cb32d287132bb8c0678595b855f902ba1c9971e2ff9f2c090eba1d022e7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7f6…cbddbacked No | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5311…512ebacked No | 47c | 13,000$6,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,890 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6f…6c21backed Yes | 53c | 10,100$5,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,353 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…f062backed Yes | 53c | 9,900$5,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,247 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…2a0bbacked Yes | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7624…03b7backed Yes | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 65c | 2,284$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.51 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 38c | 1,154$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.73 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 63c | 1,112$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.25 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…1673backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30c…6e59backed No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x107d…b6cebacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…3454backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…6cd5backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…9e32backed No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c0…f0dfbacked Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…9475backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed No | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa994…a649backed Yes | 62c | 870$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…64d8backed No | 38c | 870$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…810abacked Yes | 62c | 870$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…1273backed No | 38c | 840$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 67c | 700$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 32c | 572.1$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.53 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 35c | 546.83$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.52 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…35febacked Yes | 56c | 464.27$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 32c | 464.14$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.79 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 35c | 430$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.7 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 36c | 418$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.25 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 5c | 410.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.7 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…7dd1backed No | 35c | 400$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 42c | 368.9$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.25 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…fa38backed No | 43c | 352.17$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 31c | 349.14$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 38cpaid | +152.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Yes | 70c | 340$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…0e56backed Yes | 64c | 331.35$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.74 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 40c | 317$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.58 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 45c | 274.29$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.59 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 37c | 250.88$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.28 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…e78bbacked Yes | 69c | 250$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 32c | 215.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffd…c854backed No | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 61c | 195.13$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee7…8f5bbacked No | 32c | 184$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +216.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 67c | 180.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked Yes | 66c | 175.12$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955d…1622backed Yes | 65c | 145$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5910…24b1backed Yes | 71c | 140.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 41c | 135.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1569backed Yes | 65c | 127$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xded2…abc3backed Yes | 53c | 120.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aea…d83cbacked No | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…d2cfbacked No | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e4…811fbacked Yes | 63c | 120$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7d…edb6backed Yes | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd186…a7c4backed Yes | 65c | 116$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 44c | 113.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 38c | 112.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…6130backed Yes | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 32c | 104.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 38c | 104.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…41febacked No | 34c | 103$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…7777backed Yes | 66c | 103$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ca5fbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…53c9backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…3af0backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…29d7backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf365…64ecbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 38c | 98.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ea…5818backed No | 35c | 98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a6…31b9backed Yes | 62c | 97.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9b…70f7backed No | 46c | 97.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…c7e4backed No | 35c | 95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460f…29bdbacked Yes | 56c | 93.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed No | 43c | 93.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7420…c03bbacked Yes | 53c | 84.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11bc…5c5fbacked No | 35c | 84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…3050backed Yes | 68c | 82.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…7c31backed No | 49c | 81.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…71f2backed Yes | 73c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e3…bd0ebacked No | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…d3aebacked No | 27c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…e5a1backed Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 64c | 77.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641a…6884backed Yes | 55c | 72.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16f5…667ebacked Yes | 69c | 72.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2e17backed Yes | 69c | 72.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Yes | 70c | 71.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef74…8584backed Yes | 78c | 66.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…8d0abacked No | 46c | 60.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefba…dbcbbacked No | 49c | 60.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 29c | 57.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a7…4868backed Yes | 53c | 54.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 76c | 52.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…bd2abacked No | 45c | 52.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Anora' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?this page
- Will 'A Real Pain' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?No won
- Will 'Conclave' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?Yes won
- Will 'Emilia Pérez' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?No won
- Will 'The Brutalist' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?No won
- Will 'The Substance' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.