NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb9e3da50f140082ba1a58e6dc25d364c4f5b28b23c81422ac1dc295c6c9e1ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Hawks | 62c | 15,389$9,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,888.21 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 29c | 9,000$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 8c | 7,046$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.84 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked Wizards | 5c | 7,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Hawks | 71c | 6,537$4,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.53 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 3c | 5,551$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.25 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Wizards | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Wizards | 10c | 4,730$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.43 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Hawks | 69c | 4,478$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.34 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 70c | 3,795$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.94 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Wizards | 33c | 3,022$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.13 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…ec97backed Wizards | 1c | 2,900$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…33dbbacked Hawks | 67c | 2,767$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.03 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Wizards | 3c | 2,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Wizards | 1c | 2,250$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Wizards | 2c | 2,073$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 36c | 2,041$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.93 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef3…d60ebacked Hawks | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…d179backed Wizards | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Wizards | 33c | 1,974$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Wizards | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Wizards | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Hawks | 67c | 1,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.76 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wizards | 33c | 1,488$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.03 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Wizards | 5c | 1,426$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…1290backed Wizards | 28c | 1,350$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Hawks | 70c | 1,100$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.7 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hawks | 70c | 1,058$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.4 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Wizards | 37c | 1,015$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.55 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Wizards | 38c | 1,001$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.73 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Wizards | 32c | 1,000$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.5 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Wizards | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Wizards | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Wizards | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Wizards | 30c | 983.34$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Wizards | 30c | 982.36$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.71 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hawks | 68c | 961.14$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.91 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Wizards | 20c | 959.48$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.72 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Hawks | 72c | 958.33$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.33 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…c5f7backed Wizards | 20c | 940$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Hawks | 71c | 858.4$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Wizards | 30c | 853.6$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.08 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hawks | 76c | 852.36$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.57 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hawks | 68c | 799.98$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hawks | 70c | 727$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.1 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…68f9backed Hawks | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Wizards | 31c | 692.55$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.49 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed Hawks | 71c | 687.7$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.43 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Wizards | 31c | 679$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.49 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…15d7backed Hawks | 77c | 670.77$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 28c | 656.11$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.29 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Hawks | 68c | 652.15$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.87 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…408cbacked Hawks | 63c | 648.01$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.04 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Wizards | 29c | 593.1$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…739fbacked Wizards | 38c | 509.76$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Hawks | 64c | 508.66$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.85 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc3…3097backed Hawks | 67c | 495.52$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9a…062fbacked Wizards | 34c | 494.12$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Hawks | 60c | 491.33$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.73 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…9b9fbacked Hawks | 65c | 460$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Wizards | 29c | 450$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hawks | 71c | 423$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…83cebacked Wizards | 23c | 421.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Wizards | 30c | 368.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Wizards | 30c | 355.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Hawks | 66c | 349.95$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.98 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad1…a60ebacked Wizards | 18c | 347.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x916b…e181backed Wizards | 29c | 343.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Hawks | 68c | 343$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…4546backed Hawks | 64c | 341.83$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.83 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Wizards | 28c | 339.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Wizards | 30c | 333.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b75…c585backed Wizards | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Wizards | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…2932backed Wizards | 31c | 330$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…8dcbbacked Wizards | 4c | 316.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Hawks | 66c | 302.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…2401backed Hawks | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Hawks | 64c | 292.36$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.03 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Hawks | 63c | 287.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Wizards | 39c | 281.95$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Wizards | 36c | 278.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Wizards | 28c | 268.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 28c | 268.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9af…06bcbacked Hawks | 79c | 252$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Wizards | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Wizards | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hawks | 76c | 240$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Wizards | 35c | 236.47$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hawks | 67c | 218.91$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…2fa9backed Wizards | 9c | 214.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards | 33c | 205$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8b82backed Hawks | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Wizards | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…126cbacked Wizards | 31c | 199.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…646dbacked Wizards | 17c | 180$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.