Us Politics · resolved market
TikTok on App Store again before March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ec83f1dc75b8a440ee45b53d95af45474c4973cc8ec90d0773205518e3d29bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84c6…c8c8backed Yes | 37c | 17,622$6,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,017.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752c…0848backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed No | 55c | 8,161$4,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,518.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 37c | 5,539$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.6 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…d58dbacked No | 66c | 5,035$3,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 77c | 4,350$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 70c | 3,003$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.53 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 65c | 2,904$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.23 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 50c | 2,897$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.44 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6f…fcdbbacked No | 47c | 2,759$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb810…b043backed Yes | 34c | 2,426$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…54a5backed No | 75c | 2,334$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.59 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…9056backed No | 12c | 2,109$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +10.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…7069backed Yes | 36c | 1,861$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.76 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2e…c986backed Yes | 41c | 1,502$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d5…5819backed No | 72c | 1,453$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6493…eb83backed No | 63c | 1,443$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 77c | 1,416$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.04 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…986fbacked No | 58c | 1,212$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 2c | 1,193$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 50c | 1,143$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.5 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed Yes | 45c | 1,021$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.7 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9d…4cc1backed No | 50c | 997.49$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 41c | 900$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…17d1backed Yes | 27c | 878.78$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.72 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked No | 71c | 762.14$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.54 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 59c | 700$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 62c | 660.03$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.17 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 80c | 655.4$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.81 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 61c | 572.99$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.47 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…d6f9backed Yes | 34c | 549.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 26c | 541.19$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.45 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8387…ace9backed Yes | 20c | 534.05$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…8ee7backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 9c | 498$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.18 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 63c | 480$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.2 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0590…256bbacked No | 64c | 478.94$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.57 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 31c | 465.24$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.52 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a9…1527backed No | 63c | 462.79$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 18c | 439.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.94 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb56…3fc0backed No | 70c | 350$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 22c | 348.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.23 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d5…fbe0backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…32f9backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…46d6backed Yes | 24c | 298$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.68 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…0706backed Yes | 56c | 278.49$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 66c | 275$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 44c | 260.01$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.13 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…3616backed Yes | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 71c | 227.58$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.41 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…0c91backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9b…6bf0backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe199…56a2backed No | 57c | 192.51$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…a125backed Yes | 27c | 183.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ec…c5a2backed No | 63c | 180.21$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…ad04backed Yes | 13c | 171.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +295.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed No | 71c | 160$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdee…b0d0backed No | 65c | 153.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…19d2backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Yes | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…18acbacked No | 74c | 114.72$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 42c | 114.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf49…f6b8backed No | 70c | 112.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 79c | 110$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…3ffebacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…1d13backed No | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 73c | 99.87$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.01 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe746…ff6abacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…5ef3backed No | 65c | 93.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cb…0beabacked Yes | 27c | 89.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +273.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1887…6914backed No | 64c | 84.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…1602backed No | 74c | 80.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…93fdbacked Yes | 48c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 56c | 78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4d…7cd3backed Yes | 32c | 73.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…38d9backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c8…6e68backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…3834backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -4.3wins | -0.53per pick | 66cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a5…877dbacked Yes | 23c | 46.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…1f27backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0243…396ebacked No | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 37.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…31a1backed No | 55c | 36.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…3bdbbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 72c | 33.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…4bdfbacked No | 71c | 28.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…f11dbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…3024backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b6…26f6backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…884bbacked Yes | 51c | 24.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.