TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Pelicans, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$363,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$408,170

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,746 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Kings60c23,062$13,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,308.5947656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Kings41c11,271$4,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,658.643653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Pelicans4c9,377$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.6911719.7%23 W · 94 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Pelicans12c7,722$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.2434532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Pelicans48c7,573$3,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,636.6722049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Kings45c6,678$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,677.919437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Pelicans46c6,321$2,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,881.3833931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans20c6,210$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.561,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans29c5,109$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.271,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pelicans26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa67…0ef4backed Pelicans61c5,000$3,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0478016.3%13 W · 67 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Kings38c4,000$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,481.9653134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Pelicans27c3,700$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99930826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Kings55c3,577$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.7729652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58a3…279fbacked Kings46c3,331$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.127163.4%45 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Kings50c3,240$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.736057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Kings72c3,115$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.0625845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Pelicans28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Kings61c2,624$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.4920447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans5c2,406$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.81,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Kings50c2,282$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.99849%48 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings72c2,187$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.3273051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pelicans1c2,025$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.757502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Pelicans43c1,854$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80638942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Kings70c1,753$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.362351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Kings39c1,598$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.8119033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c8…9832backed Kings63c1,559$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc990…dfe7backed Pelicans27c1,533$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.79812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-82.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9ea…70a4backed Kings47c1,504$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.258100%8 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+93.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Pelicans50c1,478$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.225939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9c…6b6bbacked Pelicans3c1,454$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Pelicans29c1,339$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.2325833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Kings47c1,321$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.0827631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Pelicans26c1,286$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.430440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Kings40c1,235$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.6221455.1%118 W · 96 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Pelicans7c1,223$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pelicans33c1,197$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.3250245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc567…04bfbacked Pelicans16c1,111$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.761127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f25…5dedbacked Pelicans50c1,100$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.57955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pelicans26c1,088$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.981,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans61c1,080$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.031,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Pelicans61c1,047$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.725145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Kings72c1,045$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.7317047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Pelicans28c1,010$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8222039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Kings73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27030251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Pelicans45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kings49c1,000$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51268642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed Kings72c999.93$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9820553.7%110 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Kings47c976.51$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.369534.7%33 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Pelicans14c951.78$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.619231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b22…2401backed Kings43c950$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+58.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1322…89c7backed Pelicans61c910$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.11040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x286e…adb7backed Pelicans65c908.42$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.084052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pelicans60c904.35$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.4249849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5632…748dbacked Pelicans60c900$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5405628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c13…2096backed Kings69c897.16$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.12742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Kings40c875$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5258251.2%42 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78ab…c5f7backed Pelicans60c875$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Pelicans56c872.13$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.3916838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee2…46e1backed Pelicans47c854.65$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.642528%7 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc99c…5c6bbacked Kings45c843.92$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.1613756.9%78 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6442…2163backed Pelicans38c785.83$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004738.3%18 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Pelicans28c756.6$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8520238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Pelicans17c749.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12836434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda6b…20bebacked Pelicans29c724.43$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2108343.4%36 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Pelicans10c723.53$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7037011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x321f…7f25backed Pelicans66c709.77$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pelicans13c700$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Pelicans10c657.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5413920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Pelicans43c561.41$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9647229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x155a…b549backed Kings62c552.78$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.395058%29 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…0ee5backed Kings73c534.72$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7228651.4%147 W · 139 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Pelicans28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14016928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Kings56c500$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22229747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf11c…1290backed Pelicans8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Kings45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27516553.9%89 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Pelicans28c499.87$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9635046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc3…3097backed Pelicans29c496.55$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a9a…062fbacked Kings73c489.86$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x721c…9bfcbacked Kings62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.876347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f8…e042backed Kings74c475.14$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.541346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x650d…4fc5backed Pelicans32c469.49$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings67c443.11$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.588053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans28c430$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.42,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings73c412$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.241,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7d…f776backed Pelicans50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfafc…2932backed Pelicans27c399.97$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.997526.7%20 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Pelicans50c393.36$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6530061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Kings38c379.99$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.645647.8%218 W · 238 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Pelicans28c366.22$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.545916.9%10 W · 49 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Pelicans59c355.76$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8817044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Pelicans60c351.36$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.8227731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa438…9b9fbacked Kings43c349.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.512759.8%76 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Kings73c349.68$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.687150.7%36 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Pelicans29c348.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pelicans63c325$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.331,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Kings40c319.96$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.749038.9%35 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…7ff3backed Kings73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8128651.4%147 W · 139 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.