NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9d3e5642ae6b7cdb7b096f02658cadf02608f66fb05776272f1d194152570e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb93b…6791backed Flyers | 44c | 10,049$4,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,421.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35a…6967backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 10,034$5,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,415.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Flyers | 43c | 3,200$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.82 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flyers | 45c | 2,355$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.59 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Flyers | 16c | 1,587$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 44c | 1,477$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.95 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Flyers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 864.07$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.19 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 699.99$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.53 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flyers | 3c | 665$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Flyers | 47c | 650.96$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.94 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 619.91$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.16 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 586.52$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.06 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 585.02$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.02 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Flyers | 22c | 555.06$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 553.35$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.97 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb09…dd9cbacked Flyers | 45c | 430$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8e…e481backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 430$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 421.05$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.05 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…61aabacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 360.05$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 324.05$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.34 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Flyers | 31c | 282.28$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Flyers | 43c | 257.72$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…28febacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 226.92$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 217.49$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.87 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…bd26backed Flyers | 49c | 215.42$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Flyers | 44c | 209.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers | 44c | 203.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed Flyers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 199.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…d394backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 179.26$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…7c8abacked Flyers | 44c | 176.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Flyers | 43c | 165.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…45c0backed Flyers | 45c | 132.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6e…6040backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 129.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…86dabacked Flyers | 47c | 127.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab00…d053backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 124.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9860…ea56backed Flyers | 43c | 115$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd4…6632backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 113.82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…209fbacked Flyers | 46c | 111.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9384…0a06backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 111.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 109$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3098…f886backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3847…5a10backed Flyers | 45c | 103.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Flyers | 65c | 100.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Flyers | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Flyers | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…6c5bbacked Flyers | 44c | 98.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5933…0ed2backed Flyers | 45c | 94.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…7e14backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 94.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…1144backed Flyers | 46c | 91.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb58a…b261backed Flyers | 45c | 89.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…270ebacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 88.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…68d0backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 88.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…3b9abacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x463c…c509backed Flyers | 45c | 87.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…7d7ebacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 82.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c97…2233backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 81.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…482bbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 73.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1b20backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 72.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Flyers | 46c | 72.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…86e8backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 70.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…647dbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 69.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…9428backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 58.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed Flyers | 44c | 50.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 46.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0b2bbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…28b8backed Flyers | 46c | 44.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…6a3fbacked Flyers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Flyers | 43c | 44.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd139…8253backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 43.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 42.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Flyers | 43c | 40.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…e589backed Flyers | 44c | 39.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1837…0c52backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 39.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…579cbacked Flyers | 44c | 38.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…ce45backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 38.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…286bbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…d4a3backed Flyers | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 35.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 34.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e45…23d8backed Flyers | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfd…97f5backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 34.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.