TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Predators vs. Islanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Islandersof Predators, Islanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,677
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,677 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf10a…b2d1backed Predators6c15,302$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.666940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Predators7c11,114$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.5632331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Predators9c8,106$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.071,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Predators4c6,453$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.25633.9%19 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed Predators2c4,665$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.211233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Predators2c3,765$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.252540%10 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x801c…e723backed Predators42c2,733$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Predators41c2,714$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.841952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Islanders58c2,389$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.6521652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Islanders59c2,349$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.8920147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Predators17c2,234$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.0684051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x190e…bee5backed Islanders58c2,182$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0673…4a20backed Islanders58c2,047$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Predators42c2,027$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.2292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Predators5c1,875$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7558467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf0a8…c442backed Predators42c1,852$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.0130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec16…07f9backed Islanders57c1,610$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.462751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Predators43c1,598$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.31,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7678…102ebacked Islanders58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6302360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3890…39e3backed Predators42c1,465$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.231442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Predators3c1,465$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4221620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Predators41c1,358$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.0197651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Predators16c1,255$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.933,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Predators43c1,042$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44810739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Predators1c1,001$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+142.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Predators2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Islanders57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders55c744.81$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.161,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Predators45c704.99$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Islanders59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052733.3%9 W · 18 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Predators41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052669.2%18 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+55%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Predators3c387.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.24436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc40…ec88backed Predators43c368.53$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Islanders76c357.34$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1927958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e4b…a8bdbacked Islanders58c356.87$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8595…2ef7backed Islanders59c346.52$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde8b…e6bebacked Predators44c338.32$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Predators43c309.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.375155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Predators44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13228542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Predators5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15525.8%3 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f19…3e40backed Islanders57c255.95$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…ba8abacked Islanders59c248.92$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Islanders59c237.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.294643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Predators43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Predators43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Islanders56c186.14$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.915663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2105…64adbacked Islanders58c172.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.344252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf061…2572backed Islanders58c171.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.193842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5085…ab8fbacked Islanders59c170.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.341471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Predators9c167.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7451044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Islanders72c165.58$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5811365.5%74 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf8…b9d4backed Predators28c160.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9660%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed Islanders59c144.24$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea4…4bf3backed Islanders57c131.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.581668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Predators43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Predators44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Predators43c110$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.38440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae36…0dc6backed Islanders57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Islanders56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4420649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f8d…1d32backed Predators43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Predators43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0c…76fabacked Predators42c92.46$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.834548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Islanders58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.219750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b60…09cabacked Islanders58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Islanders58c84.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9518452.2%96 W · 88 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5f…1dc6backed Predators43c79.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.32532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Islanders57c77.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.252259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Islanders72c72$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1623462%145 W · 89 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf7…6165backed Islanders57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.181662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedea…740fbacked Islanders72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac63…b27bbacked Islanders58c68.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Islanders58c68.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.494555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b4…66babacked Predators44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Predators42c66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7216437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Predators43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e20…fd40backed Predators38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Islanders57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.633548.6%17 W · 18 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick64cpaid-23.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x023e…d4d2backed Islanders77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.952560%15 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed Islanders58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.724663%29 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc269…7d3bbacked Predators43c51.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.15862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Islanders57c50.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5934032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ce…58ddbacked Predators44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick52cpaid+74.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8fae…1675backed Predators42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Predators44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2076450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0d68backed Predators44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-45.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54f5…9093backed Predators49c44.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228638.4%33 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8795…9f2bbacked Islanders57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Islanders57c41.61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8945954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Islanders57c40.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3541757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Predators44c39.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4730%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a34…6bccbacked Predators40c38.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.46742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc27…f2d5backed Islanders60c38.66$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.46944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Predators43c36.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9329748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb0…c71dbacked Islanders57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…c95cbacked Islanders57c34.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.923964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3660…8c06backed Islanders58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Islanders58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4818259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Predators39c33.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2572847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffe4…af21backed Islanders58c32.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.721020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-61.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x42bc…4cacbacked Predators42c32.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.65966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.