Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk tweet 650-699 times February 7-14?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95a7018a4ef25e1bf6b1f43ad255452632ea2bfdbaf7261c5423dd244bca5a58

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 12, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $495,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $373,584

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,038 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x571c…1f49backed Yes	16c	60,000$9,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,600	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	4cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x658c…b25fbacked Yes	0c	32,967$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.97	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.25per pick	41cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0b8…9272backed Yes	1c	17,390$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.02	23	0%0 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	3c	14,127$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.57	230	3.9%9 W · 221 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes	9c	12,915$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	188	10.1%19 W · 169 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	10,061$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.79	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	1c	9,506$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.57	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a93…ecf9backed Yes	1c	6,314$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.08	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	+88.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes	1c	4,848$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.88	265	8.7%23 W · 242 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	6c	4,799$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.44	153	13.1%20 W · 133 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	3c	4,280$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.14	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	5c	4,209$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.57	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98f5…7226backed Yes	15c	4,026$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.89	65	20%13 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	10c	3,757$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.21	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb70…b2e2backed Yes	4c	3,470$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.2	67	17.9%12 W · 55 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+22%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Yes	13c	3,421$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.1	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	16c	3,164$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.78	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Yes	10c	3,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acd…3cc9backed Yes	12c	2,983$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.48	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes	5c	2,900$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.2	261	12.6%33 W · 228 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ae…9c6ebacked Yes	3c	2,894$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.15	116	10.3%12 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf64a…27c9backed Yes	3c	2,760$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.03	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-43%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4759…ec88backed Yes	15c	2,540$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+26%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	1c	1,977$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.65	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6a…afccbacked Yes	6c	1,945$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.72	180	12.8%23 W · 157 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	14c	1,882$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.48	252	11.5%29 W · 223 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Yes	11c	1,864$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.72	85	23.5%20 W · 65 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30cf…654cbacked Yes	5c	1,781$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.62	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes	14c	1,749$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.9	143	14.7%21 W · 122 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	13c	1,650$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	123	11.4%14 W · 109 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4329…ba41backed Yes	2c	1,484$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.42	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-35%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	4c	1,332$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.67	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.3	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99b6…a768backed Yes	15c	1,135$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.19	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-72.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Yes	8c	1,127$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	417	18%75 W · 342 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Yes	16c	1,124$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.83	93	8.6%8 W · 85 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	14c	1,113$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e22…3993backed Yes	2c	1,112$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.57	69	31.9%22 W · 47 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+81%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Yes	2c	1,106$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe679…f0e0backed Yes	12c	1,050$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	21c	1,001$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.64	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf25…224cbacked Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	16cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ae…4b0abacked Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc786…d82ebacked Yes	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	56	10.7%6 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fe…d684backed Yes	1c	1,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes	15c	999$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.85	122	28.7%35 W · 87 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	8c	964.38$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.15	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e70…9047backed Yes	2c	946.4$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.08	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-79.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a4…36d8backed Yes	19c	929.73$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.32	132	9.8%13 W · 119 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb51b…06b7backed Yes	13c	905.27$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	104	19.2%20 W · 84 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x324e…1e02backed Yes	5c	871.75$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.57	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc54a…ead9backed Yes	11c	779.86$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.07	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8ab…939cbacked Yes	17c	758.36$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.53	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x926f…8b8dbacked Yes	18c	709.2$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.23	90	14.4%13 W · 77 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2104…a495backed Yes	3c	705.36$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.15	104	7.7%8 W · 96 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f9e…6ef5backed Yes	19c	703.24$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.25	66	18.2%12 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x48af…15e2backed Yes	10c	689.32$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.76	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d77…869bbacked Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d8…3024backed Yes	17c	604.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.74	82	7.3%6 W · 76 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	15c	576.74$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.51	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7036…b62ebacked Yes	6c	574.25$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b84…74c6backed Yes	18c	571.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c4…43e8backed Yes	12c	564.63$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74b2…e0adbacked Yes	14c	507.22$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	68	16.2%11 W · 57 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-24%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0973…8986backed Yes	20c	500.79$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	86	15.1%13 W · 73 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1513…dfcabacked Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf15b…0934backed Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	53	9.4%5 W · 48 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d87…8a2dbacked Yes	5c	468.15$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.04	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7704…a121backed Yes	22c	464.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe24c…c0dbbacked Yes	3c	458.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2dc…b2a9backed Yes	15c	450$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x284f…31efbacked Yes	4c	413.93$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7939…bcd4backed Yes	10c	410.42$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb039…010fbacked Yes	4c	400$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.89	62	11.3%7 W · 55 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd427…05adbacked Yes	15c	387.04$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.06	265	16.6%44 W · 221 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06bd…e6f5backed Yes	19c	373.67$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.84	45	15.6%7 W · 38 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf011…994fbacked Yes	17c	365.37$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.71	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x028c…162fbacked Yes	9c	355$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.95	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d3…c561backed Yes	11c	351.2$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.23	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a8…9105backed Yes	14c	322$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.83	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f9…ed67backed Yes	9c	320.68$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba8…0db7backed Yes	6c	312.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4112…b904backed Yes	17c	302.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab0e…6a86backed Yes	16c	300$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	35	20%7 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781f…6763backed Yes	14c	291.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+234.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeead…0199backed Yes	11c	281.82$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4da5…f87dbacked Yes	19c	265.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.47	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	23cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…28a8backed Yes	19c	265.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.25	103	39.8%41 W · 62 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde82…95a7backed Yes	15c	264$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5091…23e9backed Yes	16c	250.28$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.64	112	31.3%35 W · 77 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e5…c63abacked Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x108f…73e3backed Yes	13c	231.64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	+49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes	13c	224.04$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.22	62	11.3%7 W · 55 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28d6…8322backed Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65d7…60f8backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	10	20%2 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-76%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fa1…591abacked Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk tweet 650-699 times February 7-14?this page
Will Elon Musk tweet 300-349 times February 7-14?No won
Will Elon Musk tweet 350-399 times February 7-14?No won
Will Elon Musk tweet 400-449 times February 7-14?No won
Will Elon Musk tweet 450-499 times February 7-14?No won
Will Elon Musk tweet 500-549 times February 7-14?No won
Will Elon Musk tweet 550-599 times February 7-14?No won
Will Elon Musk tweet 600-649 times February 7-14?No won
Will Elon Musk tweet 700-749 times February 7-14?No won
Will Elon Musk tweet 750-799 times February 7-14?No won
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?Yes won
Will Elon Musk tweet less than 300 times February 7-14?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk tweet 650-699 times February 7-14?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event