Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk tweet 600-649 times February 7-14?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29d534d01c60cd3cbd1b302de9e07e570e9bf5f5ba781a383781564f6372ea37

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 12, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $268,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $185,015

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,707 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	0c	15,511$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.45	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa46a…49aabacked Yes	0c	11,111$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7079…a828backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46c3…242abacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b1e…4560backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29e7…fb4fbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	2c	8,674$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.09	230	3.9%9 W · 221 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes	4c	8,027$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.71	261	12.6%33 W · 228 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf64a…27c9backed Yes	1c	5,524$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.15	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-43%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	9c	4,623$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.29	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	4,556$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.91	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acd…3cc9backed Yes	13c	3,085$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.08	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Yes	7c	2,200$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	93	8.6%8 W · 85 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	14c	2,168$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.97	123	11.4%14 W · 109 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Yes	14c	2,000$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	85	23.5%20 W · 65 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	7c	1,815$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.04	153	13.1%20 W · 133 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4759…ec88backed Yes	20c	1,789$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+26%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b8…9272backed Yes	12c	1,768$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	23	0%0 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	16c	1,667$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.78	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	3c	1,645$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.77	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes	14c	1,631$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.88	143	14.7%21 W · 122 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Yes	14c	1,531$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.85	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3831…a86abacked Yes	16c	1,367$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.15	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes	15c	1,320$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	188	10.1%19 W · 169 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	6c	1,308$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.11	426	28.2%120 W · 306 L	-38.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec6a…afccbacked Yes	9c	1,300$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	180	12.8%23 W · 157 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfce6…9f5dbacked Yes	14c	1,230$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.98	34	2.9%1 W · 33 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	12cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe679…f0e0backed Yes	13c	1,154$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8111…489dbacked Yes	10c	1,140$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.4	162	7.4%12 W · 150 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	1,097$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.62	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe24c…c0dbbacked Yes	1c	1,032$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	17c	1,000$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb51b…06b7backed Yes	14c	908.43$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	104	19.2%20 W · 84 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a4…36d8backed Yes	21c	839.5$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.24	132	9.8%13 W · 119 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…ead9backed Yes	14c	811.28$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.13	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x926f…8b8dbacked Yes	17c	801.25$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.58	90	14.4%13 W · 77 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d87…8a2dbacked Yes	3c	799.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ab…939cbacked Yes	17c	749.83$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.59	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	16c	700$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0973…8986backed Yes	17c	589.74$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.6	86	15.1%13 W · 73 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48af…15e2backed Yes	13c	588.22$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.74	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf3b…5acabacked Yes	14c	586.43$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.1	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2dc…b2a9backed Yes	14c	560$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1513…dfcabacked Yes	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda58…7ba8backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	155	11.6%18 W · 137 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf15b…0934backed Yes	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	53	9.4%5 W · 48 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b3…9d7dbacked Yes	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.9	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf007…10b4backed Yes	4c	454.3$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.45	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+3.2wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb039…010fbacked Yes	9c	450$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	62	11.3%7 W · 55 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf011…994fbacked Yes	17c	444.48$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.54	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	8c	436.87$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.21	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4da5…f87dbacked Yes	15c	432.69$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	23cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes	14c	422.99$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.54	62	11.3%7 W · 55 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde82…95a7backed Yes	14c	400$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7939…bcd4backed Yes	10c	382.42$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.99	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96fd…62f5backed Yes	4c	351.37$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb11e…f62cbacked Yes	14c	342.91$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.01	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1239…f34cbacked Yes	18c	338.78$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.98	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-3.7wins	-0.14per pick	25cpaid	-64%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0538…40f3backed Yes	4c	302.72$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	14c	300.22$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.81	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x108f…73e3backed Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	+49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4112…b904backed Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07d4…9b66backed Yes	5c	272.12$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06bd…e6f5backed Yes	15c	267.65$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.7	45	15.6%7 W · 38 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…28a8backed Yes	20c	242.14$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.43	103	39.8%41 W · 62 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d8…3024backed Yes	17c	217$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.23	82	7.3%6 W · 76 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes	16c	207.18$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.15	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28d6…8322backed Yes	11c	200$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.7	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15f6…e98fbacked Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d3…c561backed Yes	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Yes	15c	200$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.77	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c49…fbebbacked Yes	14c	174.92$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+74.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a8…9105backed Yes	13c	174.24$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.02	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	10c	168$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.72	797	35.9%286 W · 511 L	-34.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes	15c	164.66$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.7	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ff…d309backed Yes	15c	159.33$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9e…6ef5backed Yes	19c	150$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	66	18.2%12 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xedfb…afeebacked Yes	21c	142.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+228.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe590…e597backed Yes	8c	140$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	12c	137.34$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.65	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8424…963ebacked Yes	15c	137.15$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781f…6763backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+234.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…7e18backed Yes	21c	125.57$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacd0…2491backed Yes	16c	121.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70f…2847backed Yes	22c	120.27$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c4…43e8backed Yes	16c	118.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.96	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b10…4abcbacked Yes	19c	117$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.72	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes	21c	108.68$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.99	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd74…d028backed Yes	19c	107.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4548…025bbacked Yes	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	69	20.3%14 W · 55 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2a…460abacked Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa121…5123backed Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65d7…60f8backed Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	10	20%2 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked No	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	122	28.7%35 W · 87 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b34…7eb8backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	181	18.8%34 W · 147 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+46%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6e0…8412backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	84	15.5%13 W · 71 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk tweet 600-649 times February 7-14?this page
Will Elon Musk tweet 300-349 times February 7-14?No won
Will Elon Musk tweet 350-399 times February 7-14?No won
Will Elon Musk tweet 400-449 times February 7-14?No won
Will Elon Musk tweet 450-499 times February 7-14?No won
Will Elon Musk tweet 500-549 times February 7-14?No won
Will Elon Musk tweet 550-599 times February 7-14?No won
Will Elon Musk tweet 650-699 times February 7-14?No won
Will Elon Musk tweet 700-749 times February 7-14?No won
Will Elon Musk tweet 750-799 times February 7-14?No won
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?Yes won
Will Elon Musk tweet less than 300 times February 7-14?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk tweet 600-649 times February 7-14?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event