Us Politics · resolved market
Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x410d3f61c9fce0416820230d07a9d2242282e18906b3564ffec917e7621c0d1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $327,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2753…2683backed No | 52c | 24,895$12,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,985.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e61…57d2backed No | 42c | 21,000$8,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…084ebacked Yes | 58c | 10,600$6,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,148 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b6…9b04backed Yes | 58c | 10,400$6,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,032 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Yes | 57c | 9,910$5,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,691.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 41c | 6,449$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,784 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 6c | 6,161$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.89 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 16c | 5,876$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.64 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…8c07backed Yes | 1c | 5,005$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed No | 37c | 4,523$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 8c | 4,480$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.11 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 2c | 4,241$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 47c | 4,232$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.08 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 61c | 3,813$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.04 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 60c | 3,766$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.32 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 1c | 3,757$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 13c | 3,161$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.64 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd013…94eabacked No | 59c | 3,100$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 17c | 3,026$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.11 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 46c | 3,017$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.18 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…5488backed Yes | 1c | 3,010$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…c6c4backed No | 45c | 2,903$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.56 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed No | 38c | 2,648$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.48 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 71c | 2,448$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.33 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 56c | 2,372$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.43 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 46c | 2,369$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.08 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed No | 56c | 1,984$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Yes | 49c | 1,978$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 47c | 1,889$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.34 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…5681backed Yes | 1c | 1,869$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 18c | 1,840$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.53 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305c…dc57backed No | 34c | 1,829$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked No | 44c | 1,800$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.99 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked No | 43c | 1,600$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 7c | 1,473$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes | 2c | 1,421$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed Yes | 36c | 1,203$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.29 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 41c | 1,107$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.64 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 22c | 1,100$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.99 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 3c | 1,066$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 51c | 1,009$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.86 | 126 | 19.8%25 W · 101 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 58c | 1,007$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.05 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…912abacked No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…2d69backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9969…d347backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f76…1421backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…7524backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed No | 33c | 999.97$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad86…cd10backed No | 41c | 919.29$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 53c | 911.28$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.09 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…f185backed No | 42c | 900$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd996…b6c6backed Yes | 58c | 900$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…8176backed No | 42c | 900$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc983…941abacked Yes | 58c | 890$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…c737backed Yes | 60c | 808.19$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed No | 51c | 782.27$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.77 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 753.4$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.01 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25da…6772backed Yes | 70c | 718.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b20…68bdbacked Yes | 12c | 700$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 16c | 672.27$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.91 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 60c | 664.55$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.43 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 41c | 611.12$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.74 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5515…835bbacked No | 40c | 600.8$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27a…40a3backed No | 35c | 579.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 565.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 9c | 553$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf038…daa8backed Yes | 76c | 549.86$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…d049backed Yes | 68c | 524.34$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffdb…411dbacked No | 67c | 517.39$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.11 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 15c | 511$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…25e4backed Yes | 59c | 506.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4426…387dbacked Yes | 17c | 499.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 42c | 452.78$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.37 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…334abacked No | 33c | 439$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 56c | 438.1$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.34 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…b4bbbacked Yes | 11c | 416.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9a…2c84backed Yes | 64c | 414.38$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 61c | 411.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…36d8backed Yes | 16c | 405.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb572…9239backed Yes | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x613d…d946backed Yes | 57c | 395.14$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed No | 33c | 393.03$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.05 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7e…36bcbacked No | 51c | 384.23$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 80c | 376.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b2…d2bbbacked Yes | 55c | 366.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36e…fc56backed Yes | 46c | 350$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 14c | 349.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…46d6backed Yes | 18c | 342.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed Yes | 46c | 342$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.32 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed No | 30c | 321.82$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.72 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes | 4c | 320.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb453…c257backed Yes | 3c | 313.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 15c | 308.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…446dbacked Yes | 17c | 301.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…35febacked Yes | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked No | 42c | 259$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.22 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.