Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd987b38ecf3bdf4cb69734004c51238875411e0924dd0e9b30e3b31e623c4f00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $458,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $466,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $458,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked No | 0c | 40,000$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 22,982$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.43 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked No | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6151…2e90backed No | 59c | 8,190$4,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,791.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b33…0bbbbacked Yes | 42c | 8,190$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,791.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +141%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed No | 11c | 7,200$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.78 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…b898backed Yes | 42c | 6,370$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,726.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +141%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…94e4backed No | 59c | 6,370$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,726.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe804…f706backed No | 59c | 6,370$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,726.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50b…c935backed Yes | 42c | 6,370$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,726.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +141%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…6ab9backed Yes | 42c | 5,950$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…a891backed No | 59c | 5,950$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca8…10dbbacked No | 59c | 5,950$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…6d43backed Yes | 41c | 5,950$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…c923backed No | 53c | 5,516$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4486…cae0backed Yes | 47c | 5,516$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…1fe2backed No | 53c | 5,508$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…feb1backed Yes | 47c | 5,508$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…0e47backed Yes | 42c | 5,460$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,194.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +141%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…7a8cbacked No | 59c | 5,460$3,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…f801backed No | 1c | 5,300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0427…fa68backed Yes | 45c | 5,280$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f1…0f70backed No | 56c | 5,280$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…2bf7backed Yes | 44c | 5,240$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…5207backed No | 56c | 5,240$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2201…4d72backed Yes | 42c | 4,600$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +141%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969d…e39dbacked No | 59c | 4,600$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfc…0f18backed No | 59c | 4,600$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…81ebbacked Yes | 42c | 4,600$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +141%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…182ebacked No | 59c | 4,550$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc231…ff06backed Yes | 42c | 4,550$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +141%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c6…2accbacked Yes | 42c | 4,550$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +141%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…9322backed Yes | 47c | 4,550$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bd…9d26backed No | 53c | 4,550$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d34…d498backed Yes | 47c | 4,550$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6d…7ca2backed No | 53c | 4,550$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd25…793dbacked Yes | 47c | 4,550$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…f21fbacked No | 53c | 4,550$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…1f15backed No | 59c | 4,550$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83da…2f08backed Yes | 42c | 4,550$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +141%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…fadfbacked No | 59c | 4,550$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…69d7backed Yes | 47c | 3,598$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…0956backed No | 53c | 3,598$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed No | 5c | 3,296$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.87 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed No | 1c | 3,254$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6a…0566backed Yes | 47c | 2,730$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…432abacked No | 53c | 2,730$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb714…a191backed No | 4c | 2,708$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 1c | 2,495$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a9…0b5abacked Yes | 44c | 2,263$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 6c | 2,133$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed Yes | 19c | 2,030$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.45 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebc…ad77backed No | 39c | 1,871$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 30c | 1,380$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.63 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4869…ecbfbacked Yes | 27c | 1,129$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 4c | 1,075$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…353bbacked No | 64c | 999.97$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…eef4backed No | 11c | 954.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7e…d35cbacked Yes | 45c | 888$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfb…fb18backed No | 55c | 888$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…6819backed No | 67c | 876.91$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 79c | 874.5$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.09 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…6b87backed No | 4c | 866$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +106%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0902…7752backed No | 12c | 855.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…4932backed Yes | 23c | 817.03$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked No | 55c | 801.82$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.29 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 11c | 792.61$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 52c | 779.64$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.39 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…e2ffbacked No | 10c | 684.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd318…637bbacked No | 16c | 667.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ac…2287backed No | 12c | 617.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2d…dde5backed Yes | 49c | 614.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1885…eb78backed No | 78c | 598.11$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x966a…4d34backed No | 21c | 582.9$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ba…cc7ebacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…74d1backed No | 60c | 497.12$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbb…470ebacked Yes | 40c | 497.12$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 31c | 476.15$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.12 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…d68dbacked Yes | 39c | 443.6$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…c2d7backed Yes | 45c | 439.04$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 3c | 431.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d99…57dbbacked No | 73c | 403.65$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…0e3bbacked No | 9c | 400.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…851fbacked No | 26c | 379.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x158e…c6ecbacked Yes | 68c | 365.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…cd33backed No | 4c | 358.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 30c | 348.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…8c07backed No | 30c | 325.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 41c | 317.03$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.49 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fb…36c8backed No | 64c | 309.78$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 22c | 298.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.38 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…ddafbacked Yes | 39c | 284.19$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 36c | 274.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 34c | 269.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.88 | 124 | 4.8%6 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…3d7ebacked Yes | 50c | 267.09$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.66 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed No | 8c | 264.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…2791backed Yes | 38c | 264.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +161.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 45c | 223.66$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…6019backed Yes | 45c | 220.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed No | 58c | 217.29$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.