NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31a2883d5be8cf5bcfc0543ebf353e58da11b3c1168e0c745a6fd80271abcc17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Ducks, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc9d…96c8backed Ducks | 37c | 89,550$33,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,133.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074b…268bbacked Sabres | 63c | 89,550$56,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,133.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks | 36c | 6,404$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.65 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Ducks | 38c | 6,300$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Sabres | 57c | 4,999$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.13 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sabres | 62c | 4,517$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.31 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Sabres | 43c | 4,164$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.96 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…96debacked Sabres | 66c | 3,836$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 34c | 3,099$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.54 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 63c | 2,400$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.35 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Sabres | 63c | 2,002$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Ducks | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Ducks | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Sabres | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.97 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Sabres | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks | 56c | 1,034$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.46 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Sabres | 64c | 979.82$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Ducks | 37c | 837.08$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.72 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks | 52c | 733.47$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.33 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…4741backed Sabres | 64c | 649.99$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Sabres | 62c | 605$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.9 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sabres | 70c | 585.84$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.83 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 36c | 508.64$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.07 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Ducks | 36c | 499.95$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…8ca9backed Ducks | 11c | 485.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Sabres | 62c | 483.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.75 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sabres | 63c | 476.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.48 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Sabres | 25c | 472.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.04 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfc…71febacked Ducks | 11c | 472.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d5…0121backed Sabres | 64c | 459.04$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…c3bfbacked Ducks | 36c | 459.04$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Sabres | 45c | 433.56$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.46 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Sabres | 64c | 324.98$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8838…5d41backed Ducks | 21c | 317.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…4da1backed Ducks | 16c | 288.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…5884backed Ducks | 14c | 279.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks | 38c | 265.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Ducks | 38c | 265.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…e8e1backed Ducks | 13c | 259.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…b782backed Ducks | 16c | 257.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Sabres | 12c | 255.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.75 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Ducks | 31c | 254.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7e…528ebacked Ducks | 8c | 227.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c2…1f15backed Sabres | 64c | 211.14$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb86a…6400backed Sabres | 50c | 203$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce19…08a6backed Ducks | 37c | 197.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…45aebacked Ducks | 50c | 175$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…34ebbacked Ducks | 38c | 171.82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x818d…24ddbacked Ducks | 38c | 166.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…548fbacked Sabres | 65c | 164.4$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…b6b4backed Ducks | 36c | 155$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3df…cec1backed Sabres | 65c | 154.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Sabres | 64c | 151.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a85…a8f2backed Sabres | 60c | 149$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…78e6backed Ducks | 37c | 138.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Ducks | 36c | 135$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…fae1backed Sabres | 64c | 131$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Ducks | 38c | 128.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…94cabacked Ducks | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…ee24backed Ducks | 49c | 123.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Sabres | 60c | 120.48$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…582dbacked Ducks | 37c | 114$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…0cbbbacked Sabres | 64c | 111.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…abffbacked Sabres | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…1cf1backed Ducks | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7526…fb52backed Ducks | 38c | 107.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49fc…07cabacked Sabres | 63c | 106$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…9022backed Ducks | 50c | 102.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Sabres | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Ducks | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Ducks | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…dcd4backed Sabres | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Ducks | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Ducks | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a6…aa5ebacked Ducks | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21c…de54backed Ducks | 37c | 97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea6…0d85backed Sabres | 64c | 93.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15f2…1b7dbacked Ducks | 49c | 93.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf3…1357backed Ducks | 67c | 90.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sabres | 60c | 89.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eec…d4d1backed Ducks | 39c | 87.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…0f8cbacked Sabres | 64c | 87.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9489…0c10backed Sabres | 64c | 87.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…c60dbacked Sabres | 64c | 87.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f67…6b90backed Ducks | 40c | 87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Sabres | 58c | 86.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a0…555abacked Ducks | 56c | 85.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcead…31a3backed Ducks | 37c | 83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6c…a5bfbacked Sabres | 64c | 82.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb4…0215backed Ducks | 38c | 81.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…11b6backed Sabres | 64c | 80.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Sabres | 30c | 79.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3382…b285backed Ducks | 53c | 76.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…abf8backed Ducks | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Ducks | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6037…8921backed Ducks | 42c | 71.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.