TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Twins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Twinsof Tigers, Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$375,385
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$374,964

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,385 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe785…e106backed Twins49c321,208$156,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165,189.934854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Tigers51c116,400$59,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,36422852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Tigers51c42,431$21,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,815.3138751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Tigers52c25,050$12,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,97630255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tigers52c22,593$11,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,748.481,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Tigers52c21,000$10,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,92055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Tigers51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,20048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers52c16,982$8,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,830.771,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Tigers50c12,500$6,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,25044456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Tigers52c10,585$5,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,504.235952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers52c10,555$5,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,533.0398149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Tigers52c9,390$4,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,897.1454345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Tigers51c5,872$3,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,023.3138444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers54c4,886$2,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,652.122,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Tigers54c4,500$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.9916352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Twins52c4,119$2,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,975.1833845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Tigers52c3,200$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,66411553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Tigers53c2,696$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.761,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Tigers50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Tigers49c1,841$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90013553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed Tigers54c1,698$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.048042.5%34 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Tigers44c1,270$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.4821246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Twins47c1,138$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60311150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Twins46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9528042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Tigers56c1,048$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.611,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Tigers51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51095850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Twins44c999.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56050843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Tigers51c999.98$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9932042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Tigers53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Twins44c764$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.8424547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Twins45c697.49$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.381,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tigers45c693$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.8747745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Twins46c613.04$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.0470946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Tigers53c560$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.826650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Tigers52c558$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.163253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30066645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58fd…0e7ebacked Twins48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.83771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+76.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Twins44c513$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.2844443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers25c497.24$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.949,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins44c400.42$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5283248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Twins46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21640152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Twins52c382.89$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.8911051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d04…7102backed Tigers53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Twins45c350$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.51,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Tigers55c321.11$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.6180955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Tigers48c312.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2428447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x92ed…82c6backed Tigers7c300$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.410441.3%43 W · 61 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Tigers48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Twins44c267.18$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.621,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked Twins46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.394443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Tigers53c200$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10573149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Tigers56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11218249.5%90 W · 92 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb5…da2cbacked Tigers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012355.3%68 W · 55 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Twins46c186.89$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.921,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Tigers56c176.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.111,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Tigers56c164.7$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7226056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Tigers54c149.01$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.051,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers54c122$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.882,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c4…4493backed Tigers53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.617850%89 W · 89 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Twins46c119.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5778454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc655…8467backed Twins46c111$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9424351.4%125 W · 118 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers52c110.37$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.494,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Tigers57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5756440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Tigers52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5220851.9%108 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Tigers55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559554.7%52 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Tigers55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025551%130 W · 125 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Tigers57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5057545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Twins49c85.71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.711,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Twins49c85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.446631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Twins67c75.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2268769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda4f…e43bbacked Tigers42c64.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.041758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Tigers29c62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.826,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Tigers44c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.641751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb239…fe10backed Tigers52c58.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.461250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb64f…3237backed Twins44c57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9216846.4%78 W · 90 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Tigers47c55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8525440.6%103 W · 151 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Tigers56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Twins44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2829145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb594…caeebacked Twins44c48.32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Tigers47c47.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4430850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Tigers45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7751…a24cbacked Twins52c44.12$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.285945.8%27 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3049…7825backed Tigers57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258351.8%43 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Twins49c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151245.1%231 W · 281 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Twins57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1776456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x041c…88c5backed Twins46c39.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.618750.3%94 W · 93 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c5…bf7abacked Twins49c30.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4519242.2%81 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd287…7485backed Twins45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.554352.3%284 W · 259 L+27.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7552…0f46backed Tigers52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4559…ca89backed Tigers57c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9623543.4%102 W · 133 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3635…17c8backed Tigers54c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5818958.2%110 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed Twins49c21.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.938743.7%38 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.