MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x649126c2827791ec568c4bfe44828389cd452aa6a478ee7d7432043ff068ad9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Nationals, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $948,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $981,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $948,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 31c | 641,891$198,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198,627.07 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies | 69c | 155,328$107,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,151.81 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 69c | 121,864$83,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,867.97 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 69c | 119,919$82,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,027.07 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed Nationals | 32c | 108,625$34,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,760.14 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies | 69c | 88,000$60,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,280 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 69c | 67,500$46,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,250 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 69c | 56,955$39,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,761.41 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 70c | 37,605$26,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,281.5 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Nationals | 31c | 34,567$10,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,715.77 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Phillies | 68c | 32,674$22,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,305.53 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 69c | 21,028$14,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,438.69 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Phillies | 69c | 20,163$13,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300.53 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Phillies | 69c | 13,000$8,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 68c | 12,000$8,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 1,157 | 49.2%569 W · 588 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Phillies | 68c | 9,618$6,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.68 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Nationals | 7c | 7,159$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nationals | 32c | 6,295$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.1 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 28c | 5,825$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.83 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Nationals | 29c | 5,030$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.68 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…0e51backed Phillies | 77c | 4,132$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 75c | 3,559$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.79 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 68c | 3,066$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.9 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Phillies | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Phillies | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Phillies | 71c | 2,278$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.62 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 68c | 2,196$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.67 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Phillies | 70c | 2,047$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.22 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Phillies | 76c | 1,714$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.62 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 21c | 1,696$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.72 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Nationals | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Phillies | 75c | 1,322$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.33 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Phillies | 70c | 1,267$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.01 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Nationals | 27c | 949.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 29c | 899.97$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Phillies | 68c | 800$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 30c | 708.01$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.28 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Phillies | 70c | 480.79$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.24 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 29c | 469.32$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.1 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 74c | 462.59$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.34 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nationals | 8c | 451.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 71c | 411.42$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.64 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 29c | 400.01$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 72c | 394.94$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Phillies | 70c | 376$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Nationals | 30c | 360$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Phillies | 74c | 310.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Phillies | 71c | 309$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Phillies | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Nationals | 31c | 271$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 73c | 263.86$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Phillies | 69c | 215.47$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…a37ebacked Phillies | 72c | 201.39$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Phillies | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 30c | 180.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Nationals | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Nationals | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Nationals | 31c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nationals | 16c | 146.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Phillies | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1,400 | 55.1%772 W · 628 L | -29.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed Phillies | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Phillies | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…ca89backed Nationals | 30c | 127$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 235 | 43.4%102 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Phillies | 69c | 108.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Nationals | 32c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nationals | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Phillies | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Nationals | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…623cbacked Phillies | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3882…f15abacked Phillies | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee58…4af3backed Nationals | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…676cbacked Phillies | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2e…23ebbacked Nationals | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ba…e49ebacked Phillies | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…5367backed Phillies | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fe…222ebacked Nationals | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…e640backed Phillies | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Nationals | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Phillies | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…0d07backed Nationals | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa677…a6e5backed Nationals | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…5bd1backed Nationals | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…7735backed Phillies | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5731…28bfbacked Nationals | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5468…b680backed Phillies | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…a8b6backed Nationals | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…1fb1backed Phillies | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…ca56backed Nationals | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…e742backed Phillies | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Phillies | 71c | 92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 1,057 | 50.4%533 W · 524 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 70c | 88.7$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Nationals | 30c | 79.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Phillies | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nationals vs. Philliesthis page
- Nationals vs. Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.