MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e99e39d6319320d0ff890c14e1beb564bd6cd7006e78e5c5a988fca8ee90493
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Dodgers, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $515,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $538,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $515,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Padres | 48c | 208,421$99,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,899.72 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Dodgers | 57c | 89,000$50,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,240 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Dodgers | 52c | 53,823$28,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,679.4 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Dodgers | 53c | 38,399$20,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,869.18 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 40c | 21,912$8,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,735.71 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Padres | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.99 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Dodgers | 60c | 12,492$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,992.38 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers | 58c | 12,284$7,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,191.8 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers | 52c | 11,518$5,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,529.29 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dodgers | 60c | 11,370$6,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,536.55 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Dodgers | 54c | 8,355$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,855.11 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers | 52c | 8,059$4,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864.86 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Padres | 16c | 7,589$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.72 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Dodgers | 41c | 6,770$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,970.14 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Dodgers | 53c | 5,548$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.81 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Padres | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Dodgers | 41c | 4,827$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.22 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Dodgers | 54c | 4,300$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dodgers | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 52c | 3,925$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.02 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 59c | 3,049$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.35 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Padres | 41c | 2,880$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Dodgers | 48c | 2,791$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.55 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Dodgers | 53c | 2,390$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.17 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 50c | 2,021$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.66 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 39c | 2,000$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.01 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Dodgers | 53c | 2,000$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.25 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Dodgers | 50c | 1,882$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.53 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Padres | 55c | 1,709$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.93 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Dodgers | 53c | 1,627$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.69 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Dodgers | 42c | 1,615$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.28 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Padres | 54c | 1,610$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.06 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dodgers | 52c | 1,547$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.56 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Padres | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.99 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Dodgers | 77c | 1,465$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.82 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Padres | 48c | 1,449$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.75 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Padres | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Dodgers | 43c | 1,391$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.6 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Dodgers | 61c | 1,361$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.61 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Padres | 38c | 1,187$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.42 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Dodgers | 42c | 1,184$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.75 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Padres | 28c | 1,173$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.37 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Dodgers | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Dodgers | 68c | 1,155$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.71 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Padres | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.99 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Padres | 41c | 1,076$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.3 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Padres | 46c | 1,068$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.66 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Dodgers | 75c | 1,050$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.85 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed Dodgers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Dodgers | 40c | 930.79$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.47 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Dodgers | 54c | 917.39$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Dodgers | 73c | 907.04$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.8 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Dodgers | 36c | 886.27$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.27 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…5827backed Padres | 48c | 836.12$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Dodgers | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.44 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Padres | 47c | 665.98$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.01 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Dodgers | 52c | 589$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.43 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Dodgers | 69c | 576.73$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.47 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Dodgers | 51c | 541.65$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.41 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Padres | 55c | 541.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Padres | 65c | 540.78$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.51 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Dodgers | 54c | 521.06$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.81 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Padres | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Dodgers | 52c | 503$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.44 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Dodgers | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Padres | 46c | 499.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe319…0474backed Dodgers | 53c | 482.04$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.24 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Dodgers | 42c | 478.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Padres | 48c | 462.13$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 37c | 456.35$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.39 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Padres | 47c | 455.24$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.39 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Padres | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Padres | 47c | 424.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.74 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9657…4faebacked Padres | 48c | 418.88$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 49c | 417.8$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Dodgers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Padres | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Padres | 46c | 392.58$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.95 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18be…add4backed Dodgers | 53c | 387.98$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bc…c8b4backed Dodgers | 53c | 384.92$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.91 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +55%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338a…259fbacked Padres | 48c | 371.77$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…f8e7backed Dodgers | 41c | 368.79$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.16 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Dodgers | 44c | 368.05$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.05 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fe…ae55backed Padres | 48c | 366.42$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…443ebacked Padres | 48c | 356.88$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Padres | 49c | 355.56$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.82 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…62babacked Dodgers | 53c | 350.96$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Padres | 29c | 350.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Dodgers | 53c | 337$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.69 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcde…499fbacked Dodgers | 54c | 329.15$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers | 76c | 326.39$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Padres | 17c | 325.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x537f…7ccebacked Dodgers | 53c | 303.46$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Dodgers | 45c | 300$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 47c | 279.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Padres | 20c | 277.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…3f00backed Padres | 32c | 270$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.