Music · resolved market
Will Music (Playboi Carti) be nominated for Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd211aa3ba805c9ed8378bc3dd6dada570b06e912954765897d0c42ee3fb11455
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9935…ff83backed No | 60c | 1,935$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 49c | 185$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ef…e47cbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…9076backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Music (Playboi Carti) be nominated for Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?this page
- Will Chromakopia (Tyler the Creator) be nominated for Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes won
- Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) be nominated for Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes won
- Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) be nominated for Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes won
- Will Lotus (Little Simz) be nominated for Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.