MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x110c6b95b796c79e210a1dab3feb8e7a0884cba1ef0ed6984fd8551ab63dba70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Cardinals, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 55c | 11,050$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950.01 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Rays | 57c | 5,618$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.19 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cardinals | 42c | 5,049$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.53 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rays | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.99 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 41c | 4,850$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cardinals | 44c | 4,617$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.5 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Cardinals | 44c | 4,519$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…2890backed Cardinals | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6917…f6e7backed Rays | 57c | 3,194$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rays | 55c | 3,001$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.25 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…0af8backed Cardinals | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rays | 56c | 2,913$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.23 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Cardinals | 43c | 2,885$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.5 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cardinals | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rays | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Cardinals | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rays | 59c | 2,099$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.95 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Cardinals | 44c | 1,812$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.15 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Rays | 58c | 1,767$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.16 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rays | 56c | 1,514$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.96 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Cardinals | 43c | 1,456$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Cardinals | 1c | 1,436$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 52c | 1,234$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.91 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Cardinals | 43c | 1,214$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cardinals | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 44c | 1,160$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.4 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Rays | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 45c | 899.99$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Rays | 53c | 810.07$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.4 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Cardinals | 44c | 756$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.64 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rays | 55c | 680.73$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.33 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Cardinals | 44c | 630$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Rays | 59c | 548.49$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.65 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Cardinals | 3c | 510$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cardinals | 44c | 509$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.96 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cardinals | 44c | 479.34$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.91 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 40c | 465.98$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Cardinals | 33c | 449.65$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.51 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cardinals | 48c | 446.42$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.28 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Cardinals | 43c | 439.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296a…125fbacked Cardinals | 45c | 436$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rays | 52c | 425.57$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.27 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Rays | 59c | 424.53$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Rays | 55c | 413.74$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.32 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 355.04$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.67 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab22…762dbacked Cardinals | 72c | 333.74$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cardinals | 45c | 333$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rays | 46c | 304.01$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.69 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Cardinals | 46c | 258$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 55c | 245$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 44c | 244.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…c518backed Rays | 58c | 243$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Cardinals | 42c | 239$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 46c | 218.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 21c | 209.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rays | 54c | 209.26$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.26 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Rays | 56c | 192.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…0a55backed Rays | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rays | 56c | 169.49$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…d3f1backed Cardinals | 47c | 145$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddd…b13cbacked Rays | 53c | 145$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…ca89backed Cardinals | 43c | 142$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 235 | 43.4%102 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Rays | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed Cardinals | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Rays | 56c | 111$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…e742backed Cardinals | 47c | 103.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Cardinals | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Cardinals | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…a07fbacked Rays | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9d…5512backed Cardinals | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e7…40febacked Cardinals | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…f9ffbacked Cardinals | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a5…ea00backed Rays | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac22…0b85backed Cardinals | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd2…2651backed Cardinals | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b74…f56bbacked Rays | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Cardinals | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Cardinals | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Rays | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238e…f92bbacked Cardinals | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d1…e68abacked Rays | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…24eabacked Rays | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…a05ebacked Rays | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e73…9d10backed Cardinals | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6e…db9bbacked Rays | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Cardinals | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Cardinals | 47c | 91.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 44c | 86.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Cardinals | 44c | 72.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Cardinals | 49c | 70.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Cardinals | 40c | 69.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Cardinals | 41c | 67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rays | 56c | 61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Raysthis page
- Cardinals vs. Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Rays (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.