MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf838585ccc33c68e0a5ddc6eac98a4eff7938fa75febfe463061e5e8e517ebf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Cardinals | 50c | 20,000$9,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,995.86 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Cardinals | 54c | 13,544$7,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,313.5 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 11,497$5,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,748.38 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…803fbacked Cardinals | 52c | 9,998$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,198.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60bd…9521backed Blue Jays | 48c | 9,997$4,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,198.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 30c | 8,548$2,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.11 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays | 54c | 4,802$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.12 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 4,456$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.44 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Blue Jays | 49c | 4,222$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.22 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 72c | 4,198$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.83 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 3,009$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.86 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals | 53c | 2,800$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 46c | 2,760$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.4 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Blue Jays | 46c | 2,649$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.71 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Cardinals | 27c | 2,552$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.05 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 52c | 2,510$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.86 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Blue Jays | 69c | 2,150$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.83 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Blue Jays | 49c | 2,059$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.06 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Cardinals | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.8 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Blue Jays | 41c | 1,863$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.93 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,513$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.21 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays | 48c | 1,500$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.95 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cardinals | 52c | 1,430$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals | 53c | 1,305$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.54 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 55c | 1,283$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.15 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Blue Jays | 47c | 1,251$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.64 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…2af1backed Cardinals | 52c | 1,060$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…dcb2backed Blue Jays | 48c | 1,060$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,058$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.32 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cardinals | 60c | 1,057$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.15 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cardinals | 45c | 1,038$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.37 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 50c | 999.69$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.6 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Cardinals | 33c | 917.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 47c | 799.99$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Blue Jays | 49c | 786.88$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.31 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 63c | 631.86$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.44 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cardinals | 53c | 618$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.54 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Blue Jays | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 583.14$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.82 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…d00fbacked Cardinals | 54c | 533$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.82 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Blue Jays | 48c | 520.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.91 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 489.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.07 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Cardinals | 53c | 475.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Blue Jays | 22c | 472.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.55 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Blue Jays | 50c | 468.76$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.38 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cardinals | 44c | 437.9$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.74 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Cardinals | 58c | 431.21$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 57c | 429.46$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.34 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18be…add4backed Blue Jays | 47c | 423$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Cardinals | 4c | 412$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…91debacked Blue Jays | 49c | 410.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cardinals | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Blue Jays | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Blue Jays | 47c | 400$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Blue Jays | 47c | 380.01$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.65 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Cardinals | 50c | 324.14$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.07 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 16c | 305$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cardinals | 5c | 290$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Blue Jays | 76c | 284.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 68c | 283.42$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.22 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cardinals | 11c | 260$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 234.78$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.78 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…b119backed Blue Jays | 79c | 221.3$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 49c | 215$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Cardinals | 43c | 201.41$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Blue Jays | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…ed66backed Blue Jays | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…bd53backed Cardinals | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…7554backed Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Blue Jays | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 49c | 199.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…5f22backed Blue Jays | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Blue Jays | 47c | 183.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 182.94$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ef…14e1backed Blue Jays | 48c | 177.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.44 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Cardinals | 37c | 174.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cardinals | 30c | 173$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Blue Jays | 46c | 172$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cardinals | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…c533backed Blue Jays | 46c | 156.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.47 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cardinals | 23c | 153$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Cardinals | 34c | 152.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Cardinals | 34c | 152$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 150.19$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals | 37c | 147.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blue Jays | 47c | 140$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cardinals | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…3c25backed Blue Jays | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…2338backed Cardinals | 52c | 124.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…d0afbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 123.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…7473backed Cardinals | 54c | 121.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.